Wuss With A Set - Trusting My Read

[BonJoviJones]

MP3 is somewhat loose and passive, but not by much in either direction. Most of his looseness seems to be towards weak-ish suited hands (Jxs, Txs etc)

UTG I welcome in the hand, as he'll bet when he's got the goods, call when he doesn't.

On the flop he auto-raised, and I read it as an overpair, off chance a set. The turn help me, but I got scared of the flush when he raised again (though it wasn't an auto-raise this time).

What do you think of my read? Given the fact that he capped pre-flop, how often do you think I'm behind?

Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="CC3333">UTG raises</font>, <font color="666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP3 caps</font>, <font color="666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls, <font color="666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (17.50 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>

UTG checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, Button calls, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (12.75 BB) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(4 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="CC3333">MP3 raises</font>, Button folds, UTG folds, Hero calls.

River: (16.75 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="blue">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="CC3333">MP3 bets</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 18.75 BB

Wow, I totally played that too weak.