Bigger Mistake: Phillips or Hansen?

[Daliman]

All covered in my initial post, sir....

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You "flip a coin" because you are a favorite in the hand, and because there is money in the pot already.

This emotional hand-wringing about "I didn't play good poker all day just so I could settle for a race now" really doesn't seem to have much to do with playing good poker. If you fold, it should be because you expect to win more prize money by folding, not because you stubbornly insist on only winning a certain way.

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I think you answered your own contention.

Also, flipping a coin is BEST CASE SCENARIO. That HAS to be factored. It's not good poker, period.

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If you made the case that Gus wins more prize money by folding, I didn't hear it. All I heard is how a real poker player wouldn't settle for a race, yadda yadda.
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Paul's raise= overaggressive but good, especially vs a player like GH. Word is/was out for more than a few pros on how to play Gus; play back at him strong. The first couple WPT's he won, you didnt see really any insane KJo calls of 8-10x allin reraises like we have been on PSI. Not alot of hands for PP to worry much about, plus the added incentive of Most people folding there, not wanting to bust before the much smaller stack. TONS of hands most fold, only slightly fewer GH does. "I play for first place, not second" does not apply here,(and rarely does anywhere,as it is usually said after someone makes a bad tourney position call).


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Is being a 55-45 favorite REALLY the best-case scenario? Paul would never make this move with, say, AT 3-handed? How about 99?

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Gus's call= Bad. At BEST he has to figure he is a coinflip, unless the very small chance PP reraised with a smaller pair happens. Sticking all your chips in on something you are 95% sure is a race at best is simply weak poker. Why spend all that time outplaying people, accumulating a stack, protecting that stack, and making high-level plays when you're just going to flip a coin when it comes down to the big $$$? From his chatter, you know he thought he was racing. Bad call, and he got what he deserved.


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The above is why I said 95% chance.