Jordan Over/Under

I saw where the over/under for Jordans scoring average for the NBA season is 27.5. I think this may be a tad high given his age, although you have to figure he's going to get 30-35 shots a game and a lot of foul calls. I am tempted to take the under, my thinking is he will play a lot but may be aching a lot of the time also which will diminish his average. I see him averaging 22-24 a game. Any thoughts?--Big Al--