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Approximate Kelly BR for LHE?.
I'm going to take a shot at higher games and I want to risk the minimum, while still giving myself an optimal chance of success.
Using BruceZ's formulas, with an SD=16 BBs, EV=3.5 BBs (incl. rakeback/propping), and 13% ROR. I come up with ~BR=75 BBs The intention is to move up/down in limits according to BR till I reach 15-30 and then stay there for a long time. I know I will need to get lucky somewhere along the way. Is that 13% ROR close enough to the Kelly point for poker as it is for Blackjack?. |
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