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Old 10-10-2004, 11:32 PM
shooter shooter is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: So. California
Posts: 7
Default quantify luck for me please

from a non-math guy;
I am told there is nothing that cannot be measured, so if AA (or any holdem starting hand)can be measured to win x times and lose y times, is there a way to follow one player through a whole tournament and calculate the number of times that player won by drawing out on a superior hand, then perhaps subtracting the number of bad beats sustained.
Or perhaps one sample hand played many time to obtain a sample, which could then be translated statisticly?
I have seen many(self included) tournament winners who could not have won without this factor applied many times. However I have never heard a number attatched to it. My suspicion is that the percentage of lucky wins, hand to hand or long term is quite high.
How would you go about calculating the luck factor?
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