This weeks big differences on the Lori line

[Lori]

First off, my reason for posting this is that I am only getting back into football this season after something like 12 years out of it and the only 'advantage' I have is lack of previous prejudice.

Last weeks major difference between my instinct and the real line was the Ravens, and although my numbers were nowhere near as close to the real lines this week, I thought it would be amusing to post the three that were more than four points out, just to see how they go.

#3 Jax +8 (+3.5 Actual)

I am well aware of how well Jax have played up to now, however the Colts just look great to me.
This may be an over reaction on my part, the Colts I know don't win football games, but these guys look good enough to score 21 past Anyone.... and that will win by eight.
It did take me longer than usual to think where to pitch this one, and I suspect I'd buy half a point if I were betting on it, just in case.

#2 Houston +7.5 (+2 Actual)

Seems like I'm way off base here, and looking through in hindsight I can see why.
However, I can't fathom only two points, even in hindsight, the Texans have managed to scrape one win without playing a side that can play football yet, at least Oakland seem vaguely competent.
I think HOU have been given too much credit for beating KC.
Which leads me nicely on to...

#1 Carolina +4 (-3.5 Actual)

I've looked again and again at this one, and cannot for the life of me see why anyone would give Atlanta points in this one.
Carolina beat the Chiefs, you know, that side that don't look like beating anyone all season.
They beat 'em good too, but so what.
Meanwhile, despite several red zone turnovers in this week's pathetic performance, Atlanta did still beat the awful Arizona, hammer the awful Rams and beat the awful 9ers.

I'll take the side that has beaten everything put in front of them every time, even if they have scraped home twice in those three wins.
I can adjust my line downward, but cannot bring myself to make CAR faves.

(Games with no comparison were NYG-GB, WAS-CLE and TEN-SD)

Again, as with many of my posts, I put this up here so we can all have a good laugh after the games, rather than serious advice, but I'd rather post it than say so after the event, come what may.

Please note, these are not 'official' tips by me.

Lori