#1
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FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
$1600 is on the line in my CBSSportsline fantasy football league. I'm in the finals. I'm thinking about making a deal, but think I have an edge. What do you think? This is standard scoring, 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2WRs, 1 TE, 1 DS.
His starters last week were (and I don't expect him to change much): Brady, Tom QB NE @NYJ Bettis, Jerome RB PIT @CLE Johnson, Rudi RB CIN BUF Branch, Deion WR NE @NYJ Harrison, Marvin WR IND @SEA Heap, Todd TE BAL MIN Wilkins, Jeff K STL SF Steelers, DST DST PIT @CLE My starters will be: Vick, Michael QB ATL @TB Alexander, Shaun RB SEA IND Moats, Ryan RB PHI @ARI Driver, Donald WR GB CHI (I may start Keyshawn Johnson vs. Carolina instaead) Smith, Rod WR DEN OAK Clark, Dallas TE IND @SEA Feely, Jay K NYG @WAS Panthers, DST DST CAR DAL If I make a deal, I'll likely just accept 50%. Thoughts? |
#2
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
I'd try to convince him that you have the advantage and talk him into a 900/700 type deal. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
I'd prolly take the 800/800 deal anyway tho. Reduces variance. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
#3
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
Tough matchups on both sides. Rudi versus the Bills is a fantastic matchup for your opponent, but Brady + Branch at the Jets not so much. I think you do have him outmatched but it could be close: no one can really predict what SA's going to do against the Colts D, and i doubt Moats has a huge game against Arizona.
I'd try to make some sort of deal and then play for a more reasonable amount. Not sure what the payout is between 1st and second, but if its just $1600 for first (and nothing for second), something like $600 each + play for $400 should be a reasonable split - you've got an edge I think in playing for that last $400 but you've guaranteed yourself a solid $600 either way. |
#4
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
Refuse any deal worse than 1000 to 600. Keep Donald Driver there. I think you will come out ahead.
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#5
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
I would agree with doing a deal and playing for the rest that's left over - I think your team has the edge here, but anything can happen and if that money means something to you, good to get some in your pocket now.
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#6
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
[ QUOTE ]
I'd try to make some sort of deal and then play for a more reasonable amount. Not sure what the payout is between 1st and second, but if its just $1600 for first (and nothing for second), something like $600 each + play for $400 should be a reasonable split - you've got an edge I think in playing for that last $400 but you've guaranteed yourself a solid $600 either way. [/ QUOTE ] Yes its a stoopid CBS league where winner takes all. NEVER EVER enter one of these leagues -- they are -EV in a big way -- I'm just thankful I have a chance to make my $250 back. |
#7
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
Wha? I think your opponent has the edge here by quite a bit. I'd definitely work something out with the guy.
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#8
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
Yeah that sucks. I'd definately do the $600 split now, and play for the last $400. Winner takes $1000, second gets $600.
Maybe $500/$500 and play for $600, so you're guaranteed double your buyin. This payout structure sucks. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#9
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
I agree with everyone who said do a partial split and play for the rest. I don't think you have much of an edge, if any at all.
On a related note, unless this is a 20 team league I don't see how either of your teams made it to the finals. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] |
#10
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Re: FF Finals: Would you make a deal?
[ QUOTE ]
I agree with everyone who said do a partial split and play for the rest. I don't think you have much of an edge, if any at all. On a related note, unless this is a 20 team league I don't see how either of your teams made it to the finals. [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] My team led the league in scoring. I lost Bulger and Westbrook during the year. I made a key trade in midseason that essentially got me to where I am: trading Brady and Stallworth for Vick and Driver. Dallas Clark and Carolina won the game for me last week (and I played Gerrard over Vick thankfully). My opponent beat the 2nd highest scorer in the league, who got screwed because Ladanian had his worst fantasy day. FF is tough stuff. |
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