#41
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Re: YTD
22-25-2
BR: 8230.5 |
#42
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Week 13 picks
Jaguars -3 Risking $410 to win $418
Titans +15 Risking $410 to win $385.4 Vikings -2.5 Risking $410 to win $373 Raiders +11.5 Risking $410 to win $373 Chiefs +1 Risking $410 to win $382 |
#43
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Re: YTD
25-27-2
BR: $8583.5 |
#44
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Week 14 picks
Vikings -6.5 buying half point, Risking $430 to win $374
Jaguars +9 Risking $430 to win $387 49ers +16 Risking $430 to win $423 Ravens +14.5 Risking $430 to win $396 |
#45
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Re: Week 14 picks
So what are your thoughts on the system at this stage?
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#46
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Re: Week 14 picks
Based on what I've tested, the system is meeting my expectations. Will it have a winning year? that remains to be seen, but based on what I've seen I expect it to do real well coming down the final stretch. I was thinking of increasing my bet size to 7% of bankroll because generally the last four weeks or so have the least amount of selections, and the highest win rate of all other weeks something close to 65% of games. Another thing I've noticed is that it picks favorites a lot more then dogs, still trying to figure out why that is.
Overall though, I'm happy with this years result. I guess the only think I need to work on is developing a proper betting amount, perhaps something like the Kelly system where each game will have a unit amount. I think I'll work on that in the off season, but it I think it will prove to be challenging. Another thought is just flat betting 2%, I will hopefuly have a bigger BR next year. |
#47
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Re: YTD
28-28-2
BR: 9310.5 |
#48
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Week 15 picks
Jaguars -15.5 Risking $465 to win $418.5
Chargers +7 Risking $465 to win $432.5 Saints +9.5 Risking $465 to win $451 Raiders -3 Risking $465 to win $418.5 |
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