#1
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Basic Suited Connectors question.
What percentage of the time will suited connectors flop either ,Two pair(or boat or quads) or Four to a flush(flush) or OESD(or the straight)? Thanks
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#2
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
Don't trust this post. I'm curious if anyone wants to tackle this problem and correct my errors (I'm sure there are some).
Assuming you have Js-10s. There are 117600 flop possibilities. Exactly Quads: 2 Combinations Exactly Boat: 18 combinations Exactly Trips: 264 combinations Exactly Two Pair: 396 combinations Four Flush (incl. OESFD): 2035 Combinations Flush (incl. SF): 165 Combinations OESD: 320 Combinations Straight: 192 Combinations |
#3
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
[ QUOTE ]
Assuming you have Js-10s. There are 117600 flop possibilities. [/ QUOTE ] I believe there are 19600 flop possibilities. C(50,3) = 19600. You are assuming two flops with different order are distinct. [ QUOTE ] Exactly Quads: 2 Combinations Exactly Boat: 18 combinations Exactly Trips: 264 combinations Exactly Two Pair: 396 combinations [/ QUOTE ] I get 66 exactly-trips combos, and 99 exactly-two-pair combos. The rest I have not looked yet. [ QUOTE ] Four Flush (incl. OESFD): 2035 Combinations Flush (incl. SF): 165 Combinations OESD: 320 Combinations Straight: 192 Combinations [/ QUOTE ] |
#4
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
Yeah, the order was the issue...I forgot to divide by 3!. First time in a while I've had that blunder. Definitely an oversight [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img].
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#5
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
[ QUOTE ]
Don't trust this post. I'm curious if anyone wants to tackle this problem and correct my errors (I'm sure there are some). Assuming you have Js-10s. There are 117600 flop possibilities. Exactly Quads: 2 Combinations Exactly Boat: 18 combinations Exactly Trips: 264 combinations Exactly Two Pair: 396 combinations Four Flush (incl. OESFD): 2035 Combinations Flush (incl. SF): 165 Combinations OESD: 320 Combinations Straight: 192 Combinations [/ QUOTE ] Do you want to flop a straight, 2 pair or straight draw when the board is 3 flush against you? Do you want to flop a straight draw on a paired board? In other words, some of these "good" flops are dangerous. |
#6
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
[ QUOTE ]
I get 66 exactly-trips combos [/ QUOTE ] I'm wondering how you got there. Did you consider the fact that there's 3 ways for the first two cards to be J-J? Maybe I'm overlooking something. Wouldn't surprise me. |
#7
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
I analyzed this for a similar hand.
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/sh...774&Forum=,All_Forums,&Words=&Searchpage=0&Limit =25&Main=2188301&Search=true&where=&am p;Name=20638&daterange=&newerval=&newe rtype=&olderval=&oldertype=&bodyprev=# Post2189774 Cobra |
#8
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
So relatively close...I excluded double belly busters, but I think for the most part we're in agreement.
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#9
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
Cobra, acording to your math, there is a 48.49 chance of hitting something on the flop with these cards. Did i do my math right?
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#10
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Re: Basic Suited Connectors question.
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I get 66 exactly-trips combos [/ QUOTE ] I'm wondering how you got there. Did you consider the fact that there's 3 ways for the first two cards to be J-J? Maybe I'm overlooking something. Wouldn't surprise me. [/ QUOTE ] No. My mistake. I multiplied by 11, for the remaining non-trip-contributing card, and forgot about its suit. I should have multiplied by 44. (Note 66x4 = 264). Apologies. |
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