value bet gone wrong....river play ?

[ShortySaurus]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP ($590)
CO ($398)
Button ($532.90)
SB ($397.50)
BB ($374.95)
Hero ($2447.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $14</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $14, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($34) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $30</font>, Button calls $30.

Turn: ($94) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $65</font>, Button calls $65.

River: ($224) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $125</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $325</font>, Hero ??

hows the line too?

[Chaostracize]

It's fine. Fold river.

[creedofhubris]

I like check/call river. It gives them a chance to bluff and you lose about the same amount with check/call as with bet/fold if they have you beat.

[Chaostracize]

How often do you think villain will bluff after flop raise, flop bet, and turn bet? You think this was a draw? The only draw I see as likely is T9 and it hit so it won't have a reason to bluff. I guess the lower straight draws are possibilities too, but it looks like, on this board, you'll make more by bet/folding.

Edit: I should say it hit it's ten.

[phil_ivey_fan]

[ QUOTE ]
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP ($590)
CO ($398)
Button ($532.90)
SB ($397.50)
BB ($374.95)
Hero ($2447.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $2.
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $14</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls $14, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>.

Flop: ($34) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $30</font>, Button calls $30.

Turn: ($94) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $65</font>, Button calls $65.

River: ($224) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $125</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $325</font>, Hero ??

hows the line too?

[/ QUOTE ]


villain stats and yours?

[flawless_victory]

river bet is fine...
need to know something about this guy who raised... i think u should prob pay that off, but folding is ok as well... pretty close decision.

[psuasskicker]

i think u should prob pay that off

What hand can he raise on that river that doesn't beat Hero, other than a complete bluff?

I think calling is nothing other than bluff hunting unless your opponent is stupid enough to raise you with T9 there.

- C -

[flawless_victory]

ive seen T9 here many timrs.

[AZK]

[ QUOTE ]
ive seen T9 here many timrs.

[/ QUOTE ]


not at 2/4

[flawless_victory]

also, 3.5:1.
folding QQ on this board getting 3.5:1 closing the action... not sure that can be automatic.