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#1
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UTG+1 is a solid tag, MP1 and Button both loose and passive.
I was going to c/r the flop if both donkeys came along but flat called when only one came along for the fun. Party Poker 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is BB with 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. MP1 posts a blind of $2. CO posts a blind of $3. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, MP1 (poster) calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Button calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls. Flop: (10 SB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, MP1 folds, Button calls, Hero calls. Turn: (6.50 BB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, Button checks. River: (6.50 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font> |
#2
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I think UTG+1 will most likely fold.
The unfortunate thing is that if Button was chasing a gutshot, he has at least a pair now. But maybe he has overcards instead. Or maybe he'll call with K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. I kind of doubt Button will fold a pair he caught on the river, but maybe he'll decide the board is too scary to be calling a bet with his pocket 4's. Anyway, I think this bet usually will not work, but maybe it will often enough. It seems worth a shot to me. |
#3
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CHECK RAISE THIS FLOP
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#4
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[ QUOTE ]
CHECK RAISE THIS FLOP [/ QUOTE ] Yeah, okay. I'm all right with a flop checkraise. However, the third player in cuts down on our ability to steal the pot later if the PFR is on overcards. Also, if the PFR has an overpair and 3-bets and that 3-bet chases the third player out, well, that's not the greatest result, though I guess it might at least buy us two outs. |
#5
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cheak raise the flop.
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#6
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You are getting equity to raise the flop here. I don't like the river raise. A lot of pairs will call you down here, and the preflop raiser may even call you down with A high and a better kicker. I probably check fold this river.
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#7
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[ QUOTE ]
I probably check fold this river. [/ QUOTE ] Checking this river is playing your cards. Betting this river is playing poker. |
#8
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I might be spewing, but I'd come out and bet that flop straight away.
My thinking is that UTG+1 will raise if he has an overpair, a big ace-broadway, and/or TT. If he has an overpair, his raise will be good because it will likely chase away the donks (who might also be holding an A) and create 3 outs for you. If UTG+1 has a big ace, he now must fear that you paired the flop and you can lead out at the turn or river, or 3-bet the flop based on how you've seen UTG+1 play. You have a great semi-bluffing hand, I'd play it hard. If UTG+1 just calls....crap. |
#9
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why would the HERO not lead out with a bet on the flop?
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
why would the HERO not lead out with a bet on the flop? [/ QUOTE ] Versus three opponents, I think you're most likely going to need to improve to win. I don't think we really want the PFR raising with an overpair, either, though I'll admit that it might buy us two outs if he did. |
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