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#1
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WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
I just joined this table. No reads. I played this today and was happy with my decision. Now I am second guessing my river play. Looking for your thoughts!
Party Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (5 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is SB with 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. UTG posts a blind of $0.50. MP posts a blind of $0.50. UTG (poster) checks, MP (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero completes, BB checks. Flop: (4 SB) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(4 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB folds, UTG folds, MP calls. Turn: (3 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP calls. River: (5 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP bets</font>, Hero ????? |
#2
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
Bet/fold the river
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#3
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
Hero mucks. This is one of those bet/fold rivers that I hate and see everyday.
Recently, I thought I was going insane making this kind of play and started calling just for sanity. That was dumb. Yeah, I'm beat w/ a river raise by a passive player almost 100% of the time. But w/o reads, it's probably still a muck. Too bad the board didn't pair so you could push this guy's completed flush. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] I wouldn't be surprised to see a one card flush completed w/ either the A or the Q. Sometimes the crazies raise w/ a J. Cray Zee P.S. I went to the Bible store and couldn't find the WWSD ankle bracklets. I was so bummed out. I would look so rad with one. Sexy even. |
#4
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
[ QUOTE ]
P.S. I went to the Bible store and couldn't find the WWSD ankle bracklets. I was so bummed out. I would look so rad with one. Sexy even. [/ QUOTE ] I got mine behind the counter at Hooters! I have also seen them at Stucky's. |
#5
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
You can't fold this. He'll bet a hand you beat a large % of the time when you check this river. That's why you don't check this river. You bet fold or if the guy is known to be laggy bet call. In this case against an unknown I tend to bet fold unless I'm feeling lucky!
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#6
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
When you say "bet fold" or "bet call," do you mean bet and then either fold to or call if he raises? This seems retarded to me. The purpose of betting on the river is to get called (or even raised) by a second-best hand, or to get a better hand to fold. This isn't happening here, as he's not calling (or raising) without a flush, and he's unlikely to fold on the river here if he has the flush. If he has the flush, then by check-calling we are only one paying one bet to see the showdown, whereas we are forcing ourselves to pay two if we bet and get raised.
If he's betting a hand that you beat on the river (for instance, if your check induces a bluff), then a check-call will result in taking down the pot. I don't see any rationale for betting this river. This is an easy check-call IMO. |
#7
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
Very few hands worse than yours will raise this river, thus allowing you a pretty safe fold if raised. However, many worse hands may well call a bet and a few hands that are better than yours will fold (very weak flushes, for example). Additionally, lots of those same hands will also check behind if you check. The idea is that a bet/fold line wins the same or more when you're ahead and loses the same or less when you're behind when compared to a check/call line.
If I were villain in this hand, I'd be betting this river against you with any two cards. |
#8
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
[ QUOTE ]
The purpose of betting on the river is to get called (or even raised) by a second-best hand, or to get a better hand to fold. This isn't happening here, as he's not calling (or raising) without a flush, and he's unlikely to fold on the river here if he has the flush. [/ QUOTE ] You really think he folds everything that's not a flush here? You need a read to know that. I can think of many hands you beat that random players call with. Pocket pairs and anything containing a K, the case 6 or even A high. You will get called with all the low flush cards which costs the same as a check call. All those hands he's now checking behind with. By checking you allow him to showdown his weak hands he might not have been able to let go for free. I'm not saying checking is terrible but I need a read that the guy will bluff a huge % of the time we check to be check calling here. There are metagaming aspect to checking this river too. By checking you tell him you have no diamond and he will usually bet his diamond almost everytime which costs you the same as betting does. By betting you keep him guessing and will get to 3-bet on occasion when he raises and you have the nuts. If the guy is very aggressive and will bet with more hands he will call with I like the check call line a lot but right now we just don't know that. |
#9
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
[ QUOTE ]
When you say "bet fold" or "bet call," do you mean bet and then either fold to or call if he raises? This seems retarded to me. The purpose of betting on the river is to get called (or even raised) by a second-best hand, or to get a better hand to fold. This isn't happening here, as he's not calling (or raising) without a flush, and he's unlikely to fold on the river here if he has the flush. If he has the flush, then by check-calling we are only one paying one bet to see the showdown, whereas we are forcing ourselves to pay two if we bet and get raised. If he's betting a hand that you beat on the river (for instance, if your check induces a bluff), then a check-call will result in taking down the pot. I don't see any rationale for betting this river. This is an easy check-call IMO. [/ QUOTE ] Hi Salva if you were the villian in this hand how often would you bet here with top pair no heart after it was checked to you? How often would you call a bet if you had that same top pair no heart if bet into on the river when the fourth heart hit? Basically almost 100% of the time you check/call this river you lose one bet where the times you bet/fold this river you win one bet when ahead and lose the same one bet when behind. Bet/fold isn't always correct here if the villian was tricky and loved to bluff scare cards i would probably check/call if i was up against a super rock type who wouldn't likely pay my river bet off i might check/fold. Basically bet/fold is more profitable than check/call against your standard abc player. |
#10
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Re: WWSD? (What Would Slansky Do)
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You can't fold this. He'll bet a hand you beat a large % of the time when you check this river. That's why you don't check this river. You bet fold or if the guy is known to be laggy bet call. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think you have to call a raise unless the guy is a Maniwack. |
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