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#1
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Line check with flopped set OOP
Villain in the hand was 53%VP$P, 0% preflop raises, and had an Aggression factor of around 5 after 45 hands.
PokerRoom No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (10 handed) converter saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> MP2 ($22.85) MP3 ($21.70) CO ($24) Button ($13.35) SB ($6) <font color="#C00000">BB ($37.05)</font> UTG ($25.20) UTG+1 ($23) UTG+2 ($21.65) <font color="#C00000">MP1 ($47.80)</font> Preflop: Hero is dealt 7:hearts:7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG+2 calls $0.25, MP1 calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, CO calls $0.25, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, Hero checks checks. Flop: ($1.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1</font>, UTG+2 folds, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $2</font>, CO calls $2, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $8</font>, MP1 calls $6, CO folds. Turn: ($19) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $9</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises to $19</font>, Hero calls $10. River: ($57) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, MP1 checks. Final Pot: $57 I reraised the flop not to pump money into the pot, but to try and lose the CO who was clearly on a draw. Was this a mistake? I felt very shakey about the turn bet. I didn't want to give him free cards to back into a straight, but I also didn't want to pump money into a pot where I expected that I was behind. Thoughts? |
#2
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
pf & flop fine, 3-bet-push turn.
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#3
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
[ QUOTE ]
pf & flop fine, 3-bet-push turn. [/ QUOTE ] Wow. Do you think I have to do this because my turn lead was so weak that it invited a raise? |
#4
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
Well this guy said it:
[ QUOTE ] With a VPIP of 53, MP1 could have all kinds of pair+draw hands, draw hands, two pair hands, etc. So on the turn you need to bet close to the pot, and if he raises, be happy to get it all in. [/ QUOTE ] I didn't notice the weak lead on the turn, bet ~15, go over the top of a raise, this guy really could have anything and hes not laying down lesser hands to a 3-bet and probably paying for a draw. |
#5
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
You did the right thing on the flop
With a VPIP of 53, MP1 could have all kinds of pair+draw hands, draw hands, two pair hands, etc. So on the turn you need to bet close to the pot, and if he raises, be happy to get it all in. If he flopped a higher set or the straight, you will pay him off since the turn card bricked. Don't feel bad if this happens. |
#6
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
I am not sure how you think you are behind against a loose aggro player like that. Can you put him on a hand like J9 or KJ? He is probably on 910, 10J, or some hand like that.
On the river I don't know why you don't push and put him to the test. If they didn't make the nut straight then you are fine... and you win without showing which should help table image later. I just find those loose players love when they flop two pair but get worried when the high cards come out because they know that us tight players have them. Actually you never mentioned what your stats looked like at the table. Guin |
#7
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Re: Line check with flopped set OOP
A 53% VP player who raises the flop and calls your 3-bet is not going to fold on that specific turn card. Bet close to the pot on the turn. Definitely push after he reraises. He's got two pair or some slowplayed overpair way more often than a higher set here.
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#8
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Results
I think you guys are correct. Against this type of player, I should have 3 bet the turn. Unfortunately, in this case, he showed J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] for the flopped straight. What is bizarre is that he didn't bet the river, saving me almost $10.
Thanks for your advice. I will be more likely to push the turn next time because his hand range is much wider than the nuts. |
#9
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Re: Results
I think we usually get in that situation where with time to reflect we can see how we could use our PT stats better.
Remember to add that guy to your buddy list... calling raises with j9o are the types of guys we long to find. Guin... wishes our short term results could reflect our correct play. |
#10
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Re: Results
[ QUOTE ]
Remember to add that guy to your buddy list... calling raises with j9o are the types of guys we long to find. [/ QUOTE ] What raise? The worst part of this hand by far is the river check behind form MP. $.25 preflop means very little in the general scheme of things. |
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