Steam Log Files for 03 &04

Slacker13 · #1 10-02-2005, 01:33 PM

I went through the steam play logs month by month in a range from Sept thru Dec. Now keep in mind these are every game including baseball and basketball within those months. I will post a basketball log when i can.

2003
Sept 117-115-4
Oct 73-58-1
Nov 209-161-6
Dec 221-186-12

2004
Sept 210-181-10
Oct 140-110-2
Nov 310-250-12
Dec 295-260-15

2005
Sept 122-109-6

Now if some of you math guys could do the %'s.
Also if you could for me do the math on this situation.
5% juice and 10% kickback on all losses. (a deal i have with a book)

mrbaseball · #2 10-02-2005, 01:40 PM

If the Sept numbers include baseball they are useless because of the moneyline aspect not having anything to do with win/loss figures. Other months look promising.

Slacker13 · #3 10-02-2005, 01:43 PM

I wish i had the time to pull out the baseball and just do a straigh football log. I am going to check with DB and see if they have it separated. If not it would be alot of work.

jayheaps · #4 10-02-2005, 02:04 PM

thanks. it kinda confirmed my hypothesis that november/ late october when BB is just starting is the best time of the year for steam.

DOTTT · #5 10-02-2005, 02:36 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Also if you could for me do the math on this situation.
5% juice and 10% kickback on all losses. (a deal i have with a book)

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow that's a great deal, do you mind sharing what book this is, and if you have to maintain a certian limit on each bet to qualify?

Slacker13 · #6 10-02-2005, 02:42 PM

[ QUOTE ]
Wow that's a great deal, do you mind sharing what book this is, and if you have to maintain a certian limit on each bet to qualify?

[/ QUOTE ]
It is a local guy. I think he is an idiot for offering that deal but it benefits me so I sure am not saying anything. I've been playing with him for about 3 years, he always pays on time so I feel i can trust that he won't screw me now.

chiachu · #7 10-02-2005, 02:40 PM

what is a steam play?

whipsaw · #8 10-02-2005, 03:55 PM

I computed the units under the assumption that they were all -110/-110 situations. I know these #s are off because of the baseball skew, but they're easy to compute so I did them anyway. Units would look like this:

Sep 03 -8.636363636
Oct 03 8.363636364
Nov 03 29
Dec 03 14.90909091

Sep 04 9.909090909
Oct 04 17.27272727
Nov 04 31.81818182
Dec 04 8.181818182

Sep 05 1.909090909

Under the alternative "special deal," units look like this:

Sep 03 7.928571429
Oct 03 17.32380952
Nov 03 54.14761905
Dec 03 43.07619048

Sep 04 37.1
Oct 04 34.33333333
Nov 04 70.23809524
Dec 04 46.95238095

Sep 05 18.09047619

Slacker13 · #9 10-02-2005, 04:00 PM

Whip, thank you. Can you explain how to read the numbers?

For example was does Oct 03 8.363636364 mean exactly?

Thank you

whipsaw · #10 10-02-2005, 04:35 PM

I'm sorry, I should have put column headings. Columns go Month, Year, and then +/- units on the month. So Oct 03 8.363636364 means October 2003, up 8.363626264 units. Only one month had negative units. Pretty good football system if you ask me (assuming that baseball doesn't account for most of the wins).