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#1
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Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
Hero (t1520) MP (t700) Button (t3150) SB (t2555) BB (t2075) Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Hero...? |
#2
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My instict is fold
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#3
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I would push mainly because the guy in 3rd is in the BB and will fold some better hands because it is almost his whole stack. It's not a clear push but I lean that way.
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#4
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meh I ususally fold this....CO I might poosh
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#5
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Clear fold. You are a bit too push happy around the bubble judging from the content of your posts.
EDIT - I shouldnt say clear fold. Chip wise its +ev to push, however I suspect that due to bubble considerations it will turn out to be -ev cashwise. I've run situations like this and it almost always comes out as -ev, but I should run it again just to make sure. |
#6
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Jesus crap Im so rusty, it is a clear push. Forgive me I havent played in a while, Im a bit off on the math. At least I quickly recognized that I might have made a clear mistake [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]
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#7
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Well by golly you're right, I think I'm making the mistake a lot of the time of assuming people will call more stupidly than they will in general. To contribute a little, I think even at a loose table this is probably actually only marginal at worst, and the fact that you're about to go into the blinds makes it a push. But against tightish callers this is indeed a clear push; I feel silly for not checking out the ICM after my first post! I wonder if I would have folded this in an actual game - I'd better pay attention to these situations at any rate.
edit - VV I think A8 is a push into good players, too. Marginal if they're calling right, but the blinds make it good in the end. |
#8
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I don't think it's a mistake to assume people will call stupidly. I get called stupidly on every other table. Hence my $-186 over 354 games. As Curtains stated, I think I'm just too push happy.
Curtains, what is the range you put villains on? |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
I don't think it's a mistake to assume people will call stupidly. I get called stupidly on every other table. Hence my $-186 over 354 games. As Curtains stated, I think I'm just too push happy. Curtains, what is the range you put villains on? [/ QUOTE ] I don't know, but even putting the villians on a looser range than I felt was realistic, this push was still +EV when I ran it in SNGPT. |
#10
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I don't think it's a mistake to assume people will call stupidly. I get called stupidly on every other table. Hence my $-186 over 354 games. As Curtains stated, I think I'm just too push happy. Curtains, what is the range you put villains on? [/ QUOTE ] I don't know, but even putting the villians on a looser range than I felt was realistic, this push was still +EV when I ran it in SNGPT. [/ QUOTE ] i used to think i was too push happy as well.. so when messing with sngpt, i always made the calling ranges looser than they actually would likely be. its a decent adjustment to make if you think you are being too aggro when the blinds get up there. holla |
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