PP 100-200 QQ hand.

[Turning Stone Pro]

PP 1-2 game. I have been playing well and my image is tight and aggressive (imagine that!). Solid player who I don't have crib notes on raises UTG+1. I three bet with QQ from MP. Fold around, he caps, I call.

Flop is AA4. He bets, I call.
Turn is a 5 (no flush concerns). He bets, I call.
River is a 7. He checks.

1) What should I do on the river?
2) How do you like the rest of the hand?

Thanks!

TSP

[STG]

Definately bet.
I would've rasied after the flop.

[Nightwish]

[ QUOTE ]
I would've rasied after the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
Why? This is terrible advice. Do you want him to fold a smaller pair? Do you think he's going to fold KK or an A?

[STG]

You want to take it down right there. If he reraises you fold.

[Nightwish]

[ QUOTE ]
You want to take it down right there. If he reraises you fold.

[/ QUOTE ]
Two problems with this. First, he typically won't reraise with an A. He'll attempt a check-raise on the turn. And if your response is that you'll now check behind on the turn, my answer to that is that you have just lost at least 1 SB in all those cases when he has a worse hand. Second, as you're raising him on the flop, you better hope that this guy will almost never reraise with JJ/TT. And my guess is that if he has any brains and ever sees you pull that flop raise/fold even once, you can no longer assume that he won't 3-bet you with JJ/TT.

[STG]

Is it that important for 1 SB, or is it more important to get a read on what he has. At this point we can't figure out his hand?

[arod15]

I check if he bets only a hand he beats will fold if the guy calls he will probably have KK or a weak A

[Steve Giufre]

[ QUOTE ]
I check if he bets only a hand he beats will fold if the guy calls he will probably have KK or a weak A

[/ QUOTE ]

Its not that easy to lay down 99 1010 JJ for one bet in a pot that has almost 2k in it.

[Nightwish]

This is tricky. His river check almost always means that he doesn't have an A, so the key question here is whether he'd cap with JJ and smaller pairs preflop. I doubt he'd cap with TT or less, so it all comes down to whether he has KK or JJ. It seems like a tossup, except that

(a) JJ is more likely to check the river than KK
(b) if he has QQ, your bet has a very slight chance of getting him to fold

So I say it's a value bet, but not by a whole lot.

[stoxtrader]

[ QUOTE ]
This is tricky. His river check almost always means that he doesn't have an A, so the key question here is whether he'd cap with JJ and smaller pairs preflop. I doubt he'd cap with TT or less, so it all comes down to whether he has KK or JJ. It seems like a tossup, except that

(a) JJ is more likely to check the river than KK
(b) if he has QQ, your bet has a very slight chance of getting him to fold

So I say it's a value bet, but not by a whole lot.

[/ QUOTE ]

agreed.