Two-way river bet too much?

[cjmewett]

Full Tilt $.50/1 NLHE 6-max

No reads on Villain, though I'm not sure how much that matters in this case. My image is slightly laggish, if anyone's paying attention.

Seat 1: Villain ($85.45)
Seat 2: MP ($97.15)
Seat 3: CO ($41.60)
Seat 4: HERO ($128.95) BUTTON
Seat 5: SB ($31.50)
Seat 6: BB ($39)

SB posts the small blind of $0.50
BB posts the big blind of $1

<font color="red">PREFLOP</font>

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO <font color="blue"> [Qs Jd] </font>

Villain calls $1
MP folds
CO folds
HERO raises to $4.50
SB folds
BB folds
Villain calls $3.50

<font color="red">*** FLOP *** [Qc 4h Js]</font> ($10.50)

Villain checks
HERO checks

<font color="red">*** TURN *** [Qc 4h Js] [2c]</font> ($10.50)

Villain checks
HERO bets $10.50
Villain calls $10.50

<font color=" red">*** RIVER *** [Qc 4h Js 2c] [Ac]</font> ($31.50)

Villain checks
HERO bets $20

*****************************

Possibly misplayed on all streets. After the turn I put him on AJ/KJ/TJc. I'm thinking he'll call a reasonable bet on the river with any of those hands, though retrospectively maybe I should have slowed down on the ace (as it's either a scare card for him or makes his hand).

Comments, particularly on the river play?

[djoyce003]

why'd you check the flop? He's expecting a continuation bet anyway, no need to disguise your hand. I'd probably check behind on that river, every draw on earth just came in and a checkraise would make me puke here.

[theben]

does he fold a good amt. of time pf to that raise or give up on the flop? i hope so

lead the flop, lead the turn then figure out where to go on the river

[cjmewett]

[ QUOTE ]
does he fold a good amt. of time pf to that raise or give up on the flop? i hope so

lead the flop, lead the turn then figure out where to go on the river

[/ QUOTE ]I've been playing table captain for the better part of two hours, so yes. Remember also that this is 6-max; the large majority of my raising value here is on a continuation-bet flop.

[amoeba]

because so much of your flop betting is continuation bets, its all the more reason to bet with a real hand here.

[theben]

lead the flop for his reason and also readability

if you always check your sets and 2 pair. . . uh oh thats a leak

[cjmewett]

[ QUOTE ]
if you always check your sets and 2 pair. . . uh oh thats a leak

[/ QUOTE ]What exactly makes you think this is the case?

The money to be made at this table is from disguising big hands and letting opponents hit something. I don't ALWAYS check two pair in this situation (and a set only perhaps 15% of the time).

Having said that, I'm open to the suggestion that I should bet this flop. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] I'd like to get action from a naked Jack, obviously.