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#1
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My first real hand at this table, but I've been folding for an orbit or so. If anyone knows the 9/18, it's a pretty juicy game.
4 limpers to me in the SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. I complete, and the BB checks. 6 to the flop for 6sb. Flop comes T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. I check, and it checks to a fairly loose, marginally aggressive CO (last to act), who bets. I raise. Folded to the CO who 3-bets. I call. Turn is Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. I check, he bets, I call. River is K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. I check... |
#2
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I'd fold the turn.
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#3
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I agree but now that you hit the nut straight im partial for a donk bet here. Unfortunately you do not have any reads but this guy seems to like his hand and was aggresive with it on the flop I would give him the chance to raise you on the river so you can put a 3 bet out there
Im assuming any hand he bets out at the river he probably raises with on a board like that |
#4
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</font><blockquote><font class="small">Svar på:</font><hr />
I'd fold the turn. [/ QUOTE ] I think this is the most questionable street. I'm getting 7:1 but I don't know how clean my pair outs are (I could be reverse dominated by AT or JT, he could have 2 pair, etc.), and the K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] is possibly tainted (though I don't put him on a flush draw when he declines the free card, and because his draw wouldn't be the nut draw since I have the A of trump). But if he has something like T9, I have 10 clean outs. Since I'm putting him on something better than T9, I'm thinking it's between 4 and 7 outs, maybe 6-ish. That makes the call pretty thin indeed. |
#5
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I don't think the fold is very close at all. Your reverse implied odds are pretty bad imo.
If you're interested, I'd also c/r the river. |
#6
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</font><blockquote><font class="small">Svar på:</font><hr />
If you're interested, I'd also c/r the river. [/ QUOTE ] How about the flop? |
#7
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[ QUOTE ]
If you're interested, I'd also c/r the river. [/ QUOTE ] I think I prefer a bet, hoping to get in a 3 bet. The problem now is that if he has something like AT (pretty likely, IMO) he is liable to check behind. If he does this only 50% of the time, you are breaking even in comparison to a bet, and that's assuming that he only calls when you bet -- when he raises you it's just gravy. And it's very unlikely that he'll fold for a single bet. |
#8
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If you're interested, I'd also c/r the river. [/ QUOTE ] I think I prefer a bet, hoping to get in a 3 bet. The problem now is that if he has something like AT (pretty likely, IMO) he is liable to check behind. If he does this only 50% of the time, you are breaking even in comparison to a bet, and that's assuming that he only calls when you bet -- when he raises you it's just gravy. And it's very unlikely that he'll fold for a single bet. [/ QUOTE ] I feel the same way. It's also possible that this is a busted flush draw now too. I don't think it would be unreasonable to see it played that way. Also, I do think the turn is the most interesting street. I really don't think we have enough for a call there. |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
I don't think the fold is very close at all. Your reverse implied odds are pretty bad imo. If you're interested, I'd also c/r the river. [/ QUOTE ] Reverse implied odds are not bad. If anything you've got some implied odds. You're likely to get two bets with the three outs that give you the nuts, and you'll be good most of the time with the K that completes the flush. When you hit an ace or jack you'll lose one bet at the most. |
#10
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does this seem like a reasonable range for villian?
[ QUOTE ] 77, 55, AJs-ATs, KTs, QdJd, QTs, JTs, ATo, KTo, JTo, 5d6d [/ QUOTE ] If so, your A and J outs have 60% equity vs this range. Your K outs should be worth 95%+(if they are worth less, your other outs are worth more). 1.8 outs for A 1.8 outs for J 4 outs for K 7.6 total outs, I call. |
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