MLB 4/5

Vince Young · #1 04-04-2005, 08:43 PM

ATL (Smoltz) +117

ytd 1-0 +1.40

I also plan on taking CHC (Maddux) but the only available line right now is -114 at Pinny. I think that's a good price but Pinny usually favors the underdogs so I'm waiting for some other books to post their lines to get the best one.

Vince Young · #2 04-04-2005, 10:03 PM

Make that -

ATL (Smoltz) +125 (Bodog)
CHC (Maddux) -114 (Pinny)

ytd 1-0 +1.40

JupiterUWG · #3 04-04-2005, 11:29 PM

yea, i like ATL here too

JupiterUWG · #4 04-04-2005, 11:58 PM

YTD(Posted) in baseball: 3-1

Picks for 4/5

Atlanta(Smoltz) +115
CHC (maddux) -120
Houston (Oswalt) -135

GL all

VinnyTheFish · #5 04-05-2005, 12:02 AM

The Fish has NO system plays for 5/5. Minn. does not fit into the system, nor is it worth chasing a a road favorite at -162!

All the best. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

critterdude · #6 04-05-2005, 09:00 AM

[ QUOTE ]
The Fish has NO system plays for 5/5. Minn. does not fit into the system, nor is it worth chasing a a road favorite at -162!

All the best. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

If you have this handicapped as such what about fading Minn. today?

JupiterUWG · #7 04-05-2005, 05:54 PM

gotta love 1st inning grand slams...7-0 marlins, ugh

JupiterUWG · #8 04-05-2005, 08:23 PM

Braves go down big

YTD 3-2

MarkL444 · #9 04-05-2005, 10:25 AM

[ QUOTE ]
Make that -

ATL (Smoltz) +125 (Bodog)
CHC (Maddux) -114 (Pinny)

ytd 1-0 +1.40

[/ QUOTE ]

nice jump on the ATL pick, down to +103 at bodog now.

DougOzzzz · #10 04-05-2005, 04:45 AM

Bos (Clement) at NYY (Pavano) +147

As I suspected, this line is way out of whack. Two biggest reasons:

1. Pavano is very overrated. He pitched well last year, but his K rates are low, and last year was his ONLY good year. He should be league-average this year.

2. Boston got slaughtered in game 1. Many people probably read too much into this.

Boston was +180 in game 1 with Johnson vs. Wells. I thought this was a marginal pick... Even if you think Pavano will do well this year, no one can possibly think he is nearly as good as Johnson. And Clement has had multiple strong years, a high K rate, with no signs of slowing down. He's certainly better than Wells. From starting pitching alone the Sox probably picked up 1.5 runs over last matchup. That seems to warrant a much bigger change than +182 to +147. I think Boston is about even to win this game.