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#1
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$10+1 Party NL Holdem tournament.
Blinds are 150/300; 4 players left I'm on button w/ about 2500. Bigstack is utg w/ approx. 3800; he's been a superlucky calling station, calling allins w/ axo;kxo, etc. and getting lucky when dominated. SB has about 60 chips left after posting 150. Weak Tight BB has about 1200 chips left after posting 300. Tight. Bigstack raises to 600; I'm looking at ako; Do I fold (on the theory of don't mix it up w/ bigstack on the bubble and why not wait for sb to get knocked out)? Do I reraise? If so allin? There may be a little fold equity, although this guy was such a calling station that I couldn't count on that too much. In all likelihood I had a better hand, based on past experience with the guy. |
#2
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Well you know the SB is coming in because he only has 60 more chips. Even if SB wins, he's going to have to win at least 1 more hand to even pay the blinds again.
I'd probably wait here. |
#3
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why not call and see a flop? If you have him dominated, you are roughly a 75% favorite to beat him if you go all in. If you hit the flop with the shared card, you are around 87% to win, giving you 5,000 chips and a really good shot at winning the tournament. I think that at a $10 SnG against a loose player this hand is just too good to fold. If you hit the flop you will probably be a big favorite, and if you fold preflop you probably wont have time to wait for another good hand to take him out with
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#4
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Interesting. I didn't really consider calling. I was in "push or fold" mode.
But I guess in the back of my mind I figured if I just called, he could really have "any 2" and he would probably bet any flop, so if I didn't hit my hand, I wouldn't know where I stood . . . I guess if there were rags on the flop and he bet I could reraise to test the waters but I don't know . . . |
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