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#1
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miss a value bet here?
Maybe bet/fold would have been a better line on the turn?
Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (8 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls. Flop: (7 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> SB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls, UTG+1 folds. Turn: (4.50 BB) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, Hero checks. River: (4.50 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, SB calls. Final Pot: 6.50 BB |
#2
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Re: miss a value bet here?
Most cases I dont think so, I mean odds are pretty good he has a spade, i cant see how he could just call on the flop without one, unless he is playing A rag. I think most of the time you are beaten, but the river bet is obviously good.
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#3
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Re: miss a value bet here?
[ QUOTE ]
Most cases I dont think so, I mean odds are pretty good he has a spade, i cant see how he could just call on the flop without one, unless he is playing A rag. I think most of the time you are beaten, but the river bet is obviously good. [/ QUOTE ] |
#4
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Re: miss a value bet here?
</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
Most cases I dont think so, I mean odds are pretty good he has a spade, i cant see how he could just call on the flop without one, unless he is playing A rag. I think most of the time you are beaten, but the river bet is obviously good. [/ QUOTE ] You think? We don't know 46 cards. There are only 9 spades left in the deck. Therefore, there is less than a 20% chance, going strictly on math, that villian has a spade. I bet the turn, and check behind on the river. Don't give the villian a free draw to one of those remaining 9 spades or 3 queens to split the pot. If check raised, throw cards and run away screaming. |
#5
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Re: miss a value bet here?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Most cases I dont think so, I mean odds are pretty good he has a spade, i cant see how he could just call on the flop without one, unless he is playing A rag. I think most of the time you are beaten, but the river bet is obviously good. [/ QUOTE ] You think? We don't know 46 cards. There are only 9 spades left in the deck. Therefore, there is less than a 20% chance, going strictly on math, that villian has a spade. I bet the turn, and check behind on the river. Don't give the villian a free draw to one of those remaining 9 spades or 3 queens to split the pot. If check raised, throw cards and run away screaming. [/ QUOTE ] Villain holds a one card hand? Chance that he doesn't hold a spade is: 1 - (37/46)(36/45) = ~64%. He has one or two spades about 36% of the time. |
#6
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Re: miss a value bet here?
Touche. Your math > mine.
However, I stand by betting the turn, and checking the river. |
#7
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Re: miss a value bet here?
Hehe.
I agree on betting the turn. I'm not so sure a river bet isn't in line, either. |
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