AQs UTG - 3-bet river?

riffraff · #1 03-18-2005, 11:49 AM

Trying to find that fine of just the right amount of aggression. Might have been too weak on every street. No stats on villian yet.

Ultimate Bet 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
Hero raises, 2 folds, MP2 calls, 1 fold, Button calls, 1 fold, BB calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (4 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, MP2 bets, Button calls, BB folds, Hero calls.

Turn: (5.75 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets, MP2 raises, Button folds, Hero calls.

River: (9.75 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero bets, MP2 raises, Hero ...???

davelin · #2 03-18-2005, 11:51 AM

I'd just call. I'm not 66% sure you're ahead.

obsidian · #3 03-18-2005, 11:55 AM

I would call as well. It looks like MP2 hit their set.

istewart · #4 03-18-2005, 12:40 PM

[ QUOTE ]
I'd just call. I'm not 66% sure you're ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've always had trouble understanding this concept (re: 66% for 3-betting the river, etc). Can someone give me some help on this?

btspider · #5 03-18-2005, 12:43 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd just call. I'm not 66% sure you're ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've always had trouble understanding this concept (re: 66% for 3-betting the river, etc). Can someone give me some help on this?

[/ QUOTE ]

he's either calling or raising.

if he raises.. he probably has a better hand.. you spend 2 bets.
if he calls.. you usually have the best hand.. you gain 1.

spending 2 to win 1 is a 66% confidence venture.

istewart · #6 03-18-2005, 12:47 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd just call. I'm not 66% sure you're ahead.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've always had trouble understanding this concept (re: 66% for 3-betting the river, etc). Can someone give me some help on this?

[/ QUOTE ]

he's either calling or raising.

if he raises.. he probably has a better hand.. you spend 2 bets.
if he calls.. you usually have the best hand.. you gain 1.

spending 2 to win 1 is a 66% confidence venture.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks man.

KaiShin · #7 03-18-2005, 11:55 AM

Looks like you ran into a flopped set. 3-betting the river would be massive spewing. Just call it and next hand.

DoctorDrew · #8 03-18-2005, 12:03 PM

I'd just call this. He is either insane or he flopped a set.

jskills · #9 03-18-2005, 12:05 PM

I smell a flopped set. Gotta call here.

Entity · #10 03-18-2005, 12:11 PM

Reasonable chance I checkraise and call a 3-bet, but since you bet, I call the raise.

Rob