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#1
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Flop is 234, rainbow.
Your opponent has K7, suited in spades. There is a spade on the flop. You are allowed to pick any two hole cards you want. Your opponent offers a wager of $100,000 that he will win this pot. If you lose, you die. Do you accept? |
#2
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The reverse implied odds here make a call -EV.
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#3
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5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]6 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], I would prolly take it.
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#4
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Ks 7s
5s As Ks 7s 12 1.21 969 97.88 9 0.91 0.017 As 5s 969 97.88 12 1.21 9 0.91 0.983 Ks 7s 36 3.64 954 96.36 0 0.00 0.036 6s 5s 954 96.36 36 3.64 0 0.00 0.964 ; 0 |
#5
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I like to be on the edge [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] My thought was that two spades would decrease his chance of hitting flush and 56 would decrease straight possibility. Never ran any simulations.
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#6
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So, you'd do it?
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#7
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I would with A5s.
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
So, you'd do it? [/ QUOTE ] $100,000 is NOT life changing. Not even close. But suffice to say, dying is a life changing event. Make it 20 million and I MIGHT wager my life with A5s. |
#9
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[ QUOTE ]
Ks 7s 5s As Ks 7s 12 1.21 969 97.88 9 0.91 0.017 As 5s 969 97.88 12 1.21 9 0.91 0.983 [/ QUOTE ] I will take it only if I get to choose how I die. |
#10
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[ QUOTE ]
Ks 7s 12 1.21 969 97.88 9 0.91 0.017 As 5s 969 97.88 12 1.21 9 0.91 0.983 ; 0 [/ QUOTE ] Whoa... my stupid meter is going wild. Some of these replies are so dumb I'm actually getting angry. The textbook answer is you accept the bet only if your life is worth less than the expected value of the bet (.983*100,000 = $98,300). The OP was asking "Are you willing to accept this -EV bet?" To answer this reasonably, you'd have to determine: 1. How many more times in my life am I going to get this offer? 2. Am I risk averse enough to reject this bet? and if the answer to #1 were 0, my answer to #2 would be no and I'd accept. |
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