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#1
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What are the odds?
I was just 4 tabling on Stars to work on an old bonus and got 2 straight flushes in a row on the same table. What are the odds? Is it easier to hit Party's bad beat jackpot?
[ QUOTE ] PokerStars Game #1042928146: Hold'em Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2005/01/05 - 22:23:01 (ET) Table 'T #10226405' Seat #3 is the button Seat 1: Stienstang ($15.50 in chips) Seat 2: xaZnxbOyx ($17.50 in chips) Seat 3: Showcase1 ($7.25 in chips) Seat 4: Spartacuss ($23.25 in chips) Seat 6: AngelOfDebt ($16 in chips) Spartacuss: posts small blind $0.25 AngelOfDebt: posts big blind $0.50 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Spartacuss [6h 6c] Stienstang: folds xaZnxbOyx: folds Showcase1: calls $0.50 Spartacuss: raises $0.50 to $1 AngelOfDebt: calls $0.50 mr4x4_78 joins the table at seat #5 Showcase1: calls $0.50 *** FLOP *** [5c 8c 7c] Spartacuss: bets $0.50 AngelOfDebt: calls $0.50 Showcase1: calls $0.50 *** TURN *** [5c 8c 7c] [9c] Spartacuss: checks AngelOfDebt: checks Showcase1: checks *** RIVER *** [5c 8c 7c 9c] [Jd] Spartacuss: bets $1 AngelOfDebt: folds Showcase1: folds Spartacuss collected $4.50 from pot Spartacuss: doesn't show hand *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $4.50 | Rake $0 Board [5c 8c 7c 9c Jd] Seat 1: Stienstang folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 2: xaZnxbOyx folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 3: Showcase1 (button) folded on the River Seat 4: Spartacuss (small blind) collected ($4.50) Seat 6: AngelOfDebt (big blind) folded on the River [/ QUOTE ] Followed by: [ QUOTE ] PokerStars Game #1042930865: Hold'em Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2005/01/05 - 22:23:36 (ET) Table 'T #10226405' Seat #4 is the button Seat 1: Stienstang ($15.50 in chips) Seat 2: xaZnxbOyx ($17.50 in chips) Seat 3: Showcase1 ($5.75 in chips) Seat 4: Spartacuss ($26.25 in chips) Seat 6: AngelOfDebt ($14.50 in chips) mr4x4_78 will be allowed to play after the button AngelOfDebt: posts small blind $0.25 Stienstang: posts big blind $0.50 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to Spartacuss [Jh Th] xaZnxbOyx: calls $0.50 Showcase1: folds Spartacuss: raises $0.50 to $1 AngelOfDebt: folds Stienstang: folds xaZnxbOyx: calls $0.50 *** FLOP *** [9h Qh 2c] xaZnxbOyx: checks Spartacuss: bets $0.50 xaZnxbOyx: calls $0.50 *** TURN *** [9h Qh 2c] [7d] xaZnxbOyx: checks Spartacuss: bets $1 xaZnxbOyx: calls $1 *** RIVER *** [9h Qh 2c 7d] [8h] xaZnxbOyx: checks Spartacuss: bets $1 xaZnxbOyx: raises $1 to $2 Spartacuss: raises $1 to $3 xaZnxbOyx: calls $1 *** SHOW DOWN *** Spartacuss: shows [Jh Th] (a straight flush, Eight to Queen) xaZnxbOyx: mucks hand Spartacuss collected $11.25 from pot *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $11.75 | Rake $0.50 Board [9h Qh 2c 7d 8h] Seat 1: Stienstang (big blind) folded before Flop Seat 2: xaZnxbOyx mucked [Tc Qc] Seat 3: Showcase1 folded before Flop (didn't bet) Seat 4: Spartacuss (button) showed [Jh Th] and won ($11.25) with a straight flush, Eight to Queen Seat 6: AngelOfDebt (small blind) folded before Flop [/ QUOTE ] I guess this won't happen to me again soon. |
#2
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Re: What are the odds?
shoulda used that luck while playing 15/30. . .but nice hands [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]
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#3
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Re: What are the odds?
The odds of a straight flush coming on the hand after a straight flush hits are the same as the odds for the first one.
Martin |
#4
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Re: What are the odds?
its the same odds of getting a straight flush...the odds of hitting the first are the same as the second...but hitting them back to back is a different stat because now you're talking about all the combinations of hand while getting a different combination of hands and still making a straight flush but with different cards...you multiply the odds together or something...trust me...they're different odds
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#5
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Re: What are the odds?
[ QUOTE ]
The odds of a straight flush coming on the hand after a straight flush hits are the same as the odds for the first one. [/ QUOTE ] That was a very insightful post. I am so happy to use the same forum as someone as bright and who makes such helpful, worthwhile contributions to our discussions as you do. The answer to your question, what are the odds of it occuring on TWO consecutive hands is, according to http://www.neo-tech.com/poker/part1b.html : 1/70,000 * 1/70,000 = 1/4,900,000,000 On a side note, this does belong in the Probability forum, I do believe. PG |
#6
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Re: What are the odds?
ah thanks...I didn't know the numbers [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img] fast google...I should have thought about that
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#7
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Re: What are the odds?
NP it was an easy one.
PG |
#8
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Re: What are the odds?
The reason I posted is because so many people don't understand the past doesn't affect future events. The fact that you know this wouldn't have changed my post, and shouldn't have prompted yours.
Martin |
#9
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Re: What are the odds?
Martin, do you really think that there are people on here that think that the outcome from a previous hand affects future hands? Not in the Zoo man. All he asked was a straightforward question, what are the odds of the same outcome two hands in a row? It didn't warrant any unnecessary, derogatory comments.
PG |
#10
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Re: What are the odds?
[ QUOTE ]
Martin, do you really think that there are people on here that think that the outcome from a previous hand affects future hands? Not in the Zoo man. [/ QUOTE ] Clearly your three months at 2+2 haven't been spent reading. Martin |
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