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#1
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Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
Week #9 line
Sun 11/7/04 <font color="blue">Jets vs. Bills +3 Eagles vs. Steelers +1.5 Redskins vs Lions -3.5 Cowboys vs. Bengals +1.5 Raiders vs Panthers -6.5 Cardinals vs. Dolphins -3 Chiefs vs. Buccaneers +3 Bears vs. Giants -9 Seahawks vs. 49ers +6.5 Saints vs Chargers -6 Patriots vs Rams +2.5 Texans vs Broncos -6 Browns vs Ravens -6</font> Mon 11/8/04 <font color="blue">Vikings vs Colts -6.5</font> [i]<font color="red"> According to my FBI contacts, Big Al may finally rejoin us this week. Word is that the Fibbies are grilling Big Al and another absent, former champion handicapper over the kidnapping case. |
#2
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
Chiefs $400
Vikings $300 Bengals $200 Broncos $100 I can't figure out that Chiefs line; it looks like stealing (especially since there's no juice on it). We'll see... Skol Vikings! |
#3
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
I can't figure out that Chiefs line; it looks like stealing (especially since there's no juice on it). We'll see...
The Chiefs are 3-4 and a three point road favorite. Doesn't seem at all like stealing to me... |
#4
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
But then again, theyve scored over 100 points in two weeks. Im not sure at all about this game, but I'dve guessed the spread to have been closer to 7 or so.
TRWIII |
#5
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
But then again, theyve scored over 100 points in two weeks. Im not sure at all about this game, but I'dve guessed the spread to have been closer to 7 or so.
Everyone tends to overestimate the importance of the most recent results. Don't forget all those games the Chiefs lost, including one to Carolina. Also, both the last two games were at Arrowhead. KC is traditionally a very strong home team. Finally, giving three points on the road is pretty damn heavy. Seven points on the road is HUGE. No 3-4 team ever should lay that much wood. I can't handicap worth beans, but I do know that the lines are good. They are really good. I also know that most people seem to forget completely how close EVERY NFL team is in strength, and how one or two "lucky" events can determine who wins. The NFL ain't college. No one wins by 66 points. These games are all competitive, and three points on the road is a lot to give. |
#6
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
Well, there was certainly a bit of hyperbole there, but I do think it's a questionable line.
Home field typically accounts for 3 points of the spread. So this line is telling me that once we've accounted for home field, it's a toss up? The Chiefs are a much better team than the Bucs this year. The Chiefs are 3-4, but they have won 3 of their last 4 games. They have the 3rd best offense in the league going up against the Bucs 2nd best defense in the league. I'll take the Chiefs in that matchup, especially when you consider that TB is average at best vs. the run. I expect KC to open up a lead and pound the ball with Priest for the rest of the game. You're right, it's never stealing. But this line looks to be the cream of the crop this week in my book. Lots of upside. Huge upside! |
#7
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
[ QUOTE ]
Home field typically accounts for 3 points of the spread. So this line is telling me that once we've accounted for home field, it's a toss up [/ QUOTE ] If home field truly does account for 3 points on the spread, wouldn't this line be telling you that the Chiefs would be 6 pt favorites on a neutral field? -McGee |
#8
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
You are correct, sir [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]
Go Chiefs, even if I'm a dumbass! |
#9
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It\'s a trap line!
Ed was on top of this one. |
#10
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Re: Official Week #9 thread for the \"3+1 NFL Challenge\"
$400 Patriots
$300 Jets $200 Chiefs $100 Cowboys Charmy |
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