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#1
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I bet all the games for this week under. Exactly the same units on each and all for the under. I remember that early preseason games tend to have little to no offense. If anyone disagrees please tell me why. I bet every game from Aug. 12 till Aug 16th.
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#2
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not a bad theory.
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#3
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At first I thought this was a good theory. But after looking at the lines- they're all from 33-38! Thats so low! So it seems as if the bookies have already taken your theory into consideration.
I actually like the over in the KC/NYG game. Its only 35. KC is high scoring. And the Giants having a QB battle should mean they both try to put up points. |
#4
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I went ahead and made my first wager of the season: KC/NYG over 35. Looking good so far- 14 points in the 1st quarter.
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#5
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Over for KC already in at half time. Im hoping the other two games go under though.
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
Over for KC already in at half time. Im hoping the other two games go under though. [/ QUOTE ] Yeah that was a nice way to start my betting season. 1-0! GL with the rest of your games. I'll be monitoring how your system works, and maybe I'll try it next year. I do wish to hear your response however: The lines are nearly as high as regular season lines, so it seems as if the bookies have already adjusted to your 'theory.' Do you still think its a good one? |
#7
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Well the system held up as I bet all 16 games from Aug12-16 and the games went 11-5 to the under. With one game landing over the closing number NO-NYJ landing on 36, number opened at 37 where I bet it and closed at 34.5-35.5. Even if you got the closing number on the NO-NYJ game you would still have gone 10-6 betting every game under. One of the games IND-SD was under until 6 sec left when Indy 5th string QB through a TD to win the game capping a 70 yard game winning drive. Next year Ill bet the same hopefully for more cash. Unfortunately I dont know any other preseason tips except dont bet game heavy unless you know how long stars and non-stars will play and thats pretty generic advice at that.
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
Well the system held up as I bet all 16 games from Aug12-16 and the games went 11-5 to the under. With one game landing over the closing number NO-NYJ landing on 36, number opened at 37 where I bet it and closed at 34.5-35.5. Even if you got the closing number on the NO-NYJ game you would still have gone 10-6 betting every game under. One of the games IND-SD was under until 6 sec left when Indy 5th string QB through a TD to win the game capping a 70 yard game winning drive. Next year Ill bet the same hopefully for more cash. Unfortunately I dont know any other preseason tips except dont bet game heavy unless you know how long stars and non-stars will play and thats pretty generic advice at that. [/ QUOTE ] congrats! I'm extremely interesting in your system now. Has it worked in all of the past few preseasons? |
#9
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[img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] good results on unders on early nflx..
i think there was concern this year about the rule change (bumping receivers), that is supposedly to be called very close, and resulte in multiple defensive penalties and increase scoring; and %passes, thus lengthening number of plays in g too... i wonder if this will affect totals in reg season.. gl [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] |
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