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#1
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A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
4-handed.
effective stacks 2k. hero: A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] hero opens utg to 70. solid player that is likely a winner in this game but seems to be weak lately calls on the button. FLOP: 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]-7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]-2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (pot:170) hero leads for 190. button pauses, goes all in for 1800. hero calls quickly. thoughts? |
#2
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
9sTs is a 55% favorite. A pair as hefty as 55 is an 80% favorite. Hands like 8s7s and As7s have hero just destroyed.
Not sure what you were hoping for, chuddo. This looks like a very tilty play. |
#3
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
This seems like a math question. My wild ass guess at his range is the following:
Set -- 5% Overpair -- 15% Flush draw with overs -- 30% Combo straight and flush draw -- 25% Air -- 25% Where does that leave you? |
#4
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
[ QUOTE ]
This seems like a math question. My wild ass guess at his range is the following: Set -- 5% Overpair -- 15% Flush draw with overs -- 30% Combo straight and flush draw -- 25% Air -- 25% Where does that leave you? [/ QUOTE ] [censored]. Chuddo, who is that hot girl in your pic? |
#5
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
My thoughts are WTF is wrong with you?
So he had a 53 spades and missed? Still a brutal call. |
#6
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
[ QUOTE ]
thoughts? [/ QUOTE ] If he has something he has you close to a coin flip or destroyed. If he has nothing you can accomplish your goal with a much smaller bet. |
#7
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
obviously you put him on air... but my fear is how often youd lose to air here.
putting a guy on a 'range' given this massive overbet requires a bit of help from the gods. you hope he has AK? do you really want to get this much money in there against him if he has any two spades/overcards (QsJs, maybe)? and god forbid he has a pair, and youre in there with 5 outs. i think this call is crazy, unfortunately he probably has to take this down with his air... |
#8
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
hero hates money
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#9
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
Good thing I hit the river again!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
i kid. |
#10
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Re: A2s vs. flop push - 10/20 NL shorthanded.
kane, your pm box is full. clear it out.
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