pocket aces probability

Hosayif · #1 07-14-2005, 01:14 AM

what is the probability of NOT being dealt aces in 600 hands?

uuDevil · #2 07-14-2005, 01:24 AM

[ QUOTE ]
what is the probability of NOT being dealt aces in 600 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

In Excel,

=BINOMDIST(0,600,1/221,FALSE) gives a result of 0.065802786

BruceZ · #3 07-14-2005, 02:07 AM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
what is the probability of NOT being dealt aces in 600 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

In Excel,

=BINOMDIST(0,600,1/221,FALSE) gives a result of 0.065802786

[/ QUOTE ]

(220/221)^600 works too.

Hosayif · #4 07-14-2005, 08:54 PM

thanks both of you, but is it .06 percent or 6 percent (the running count is at 790 now btw)

Hosayif · #5 07-14-2005, 09:01 PM

i finally got them!!! 795 hands and it ended up making the nut flush

uuDevil · #6 07-14-2005, 10:40 PM

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i finally got them!!! 795 hands and it ended up making the nut flush

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(220/221)^600=.065803 is ~6.58%, or odds of 14.2:1 against

(220/221)^794=.027299 is ~2.73% or odds of 35.6:1 against

Spreadsheets are handy. The windows calculator works ok too.

Paxosmotic · #7 07-14-2005, 09:09 PM

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
what is the probability of NOT being dealt aces in 600 hands?

[/ QUOTE ]

In Excel,

=BINOMDIST(0,600,1/221,FALSE) gives a result of 0.065802786

[/ QUOTE ]

(220/221)^600 works too.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hey now, that's a pretty good trick, I'm going to use that one.