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I check river, willing to call up to x
I see this often in this forum, typically when holding a good not great hand on the river. I would like some clarification. From this I infer that the bigger the bet, the less likelihood of a bluff.
E.g. Pot is $1000. You check, willing to call up to $500. Since you are willing to call $500, you are assuming that he will be bluffing 1/4 of the time (or more) for your call to be profitable. If he best $1000, you fold, which implies that you think he is bluffing less than 1/3 of the time. But for a typical opponents, wouldn't it be typical for him to bet larger when bluffing? Couldn't it be that when he bets $1000 he is bluffing 1/2 the time, when he bets $500 he is bluffing 1/10 times, so infact you should check intending to fold for $500 but call for $1000? |
#2
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Re: I check river, willing to call up to x
[ QUOTE ]
I see this often in this forum, typically when holding a good not great hand on the river. I would like some clarification. From this I infer that the bigger the bet, the less likelihood of a bluff. E.g. Pot is $1000. You check, willing to call up to $500. Since you are willing to call $500, you are assuming that he will be bluffing 1/4 of the time (or more) for your call to be profitable. If he best $1000, you fold, which implies that you think he is bluffing less than 1/3 of the time. But for a typical opponents, wouldn't it be typical for him to bet larger when bluffing? Couldn't it be that when he bets $1000 he is bluffing 1/2 the time, when he bets $500 he is bluffing 1/10 times, so infact you should check intending to fold for $500 but call for $1000? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, but most hands are most on a general basis, if hero has a read, then there isnt much reason for him to post the hand. most hands that get posted dont have reads if youve noticed. |
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