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#1
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20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
UTG is somewhat tight and haven't raised more than one hand up to now.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t300 (5 handed) converter Button (t1230) SB (t1470) BB (t1010) UTG (t1585) Hero (t2705) Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. UTG goes all-in [t1585] , <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>. Final Pot: t450 |
#2
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
I'm pretty sure it's a crime to fold here.
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#3
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
I call I think at worst your a coinflip and take a look at how the stacks would be if you call and win here. You would have a dominate stack on the bubble. You have almost a lock on first if you win this hand.
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#4
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
Sorry to bore you with a repetitious analogy but...
You are walking on a road along a canyon, looking for a place to cross. You come to a rickety bridge--if you attempt to cross here, there is a 50% chance you will fall to your death. On the other hand, you could walk a bit further and find a better bridge. Which would you do? Your opponent probably has some pair, it doesn't really matter which...your AK is still a drawing hand. You already have some time invested in this tournament. I have no problem waiting for the better bridge. |
#5
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
Coinflips are for situations like "he probably folds, but if he calls, it is likely a coinflip."
If you call here, you want it to be ahead of their range. |
#6
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
ehh...arent we ahead of his range [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]
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#7
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
Depends on his range. If it were you pushing, I'd call in a heartbeat, but this guy has raised only once in the SNG so far.
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#8
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
this really depends on how much of a wuss u REALLY are. Are u willing ot push any two the next 3 hands? If you are willing to do that, i fold this and push every other hand til it gets 3 handed.
If u put UTG on AQ+, 77+ this call is break even at best. I fold and use my chip advantage and pick on the pusher and rest of table, but especially the pusher. If u call and lose, u are down to 1200, if u call and win u have 4400. |
#9
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
[ QUOTE ]
If u put UTG on AQ+, 77+ this call is break even at best. I fold and use my chip advantage and pick on the pusher and rest of table, but especially the pusher. If u call and lose, u are down to 1200, if u call and win u have 4400. [/ QUOTE ] Thats where the problem lies. Putting a range on a tight guy that hasn't done much raising up to now. Granted he has to loosen up with these blinds but how much? |
#10
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Re: 20+2 To be or not to be (a wuss on the bubble).
forget the range...I make it easy on myself. If I have AK and someone moves in 5 handed I call. I mean there would have to be a ridiculous situation that would cause me to fold here. If I had 4500 and villian had 5000 and the other 3 had 1000 each maybe I fold here. But seriously do you think he has KK or AA??? If not than the chance of him have Ax is to great to fold.
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