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#1
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Situation I\'m unsure of TD 2-7.
Good .5/1$ game, hero, two tight players and three fish.
Fold, hero open-raises with 2378K. fold to button who 3 bets it, folded to hero. In an hour of play you have noticed button has ONLY 3-bet with 1 card draws. He appears to be learning with DN's system for the most part (doesnt draw rough, opens 2 card and 1 card draws fold most everything else) but he only gets aggressive with 1 card draws. Do you ditch the 8 here in an attempt at not ending up with a rougher hand, or just try and outrun him? What's the plan? |
#2
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Re: Situation I\'m unsure of TD 2-7.
With this read (I've seen players like this, too) I would tend to break an 87 draw but keep an 86 or 85, unless Villian is a tricky player who might 3-bet and keep a 9 if he gets it HU.
With the 87 it is far too easy to be outplayed on the 3rd round. Breaking gives you the option to fold unimproved or make a call (or bet) that is much more likely to be correct. You are trading a 20% decrease in your probability of making an 8 for about 20% chance of making a 7. On the other hand, getting free cards on the second and third rounds when you have a worse draw has some value, too. |
#3
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Re: Situation I\'m unsure of TD 2-7.
With this read, I normally drop the 8 on the opening round. I have no idea if that's actually the optimal decision. It certainly makes decisions on the later rounds a lot easier.
If you keep the 8, you're either calling a three bet or capping. I hate doing either one in this spot. Calling a three bet and drawing one screams "I have a bad one card draw". Capping is too expensive to consider in this spot. Tangentally, I'd be interested in hearing arguments that involve calling a three bet in this spot as part of a mixed strategy. I'm curious if anyone does that with much success. |
#4
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Re: Situation I\'m unsure of TD 2-7.
OOP I ditch the 8
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#5
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RE MIX.
Sounds good, thanks guys.
A twist, what if player is: A.) Tight aggressive and will do this to iso with any good 2 card draw and obviously 1 card draws. B.) Loose aggressive, will do this with any remotely playable 2 card draw with a deuce, and smooth to rough 1 card draws. OOP, kick the 8 or no? |
#6
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Re: RE MIX.
A. I still want to toss the 8
B. I think it is close between tossing the 8 and re-raising(take control!) and drawing one. |
#7
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Re: RE MIX.
A.) Probably call and throw the 8 (really depends on how he plays after the draw)
B.) Probably cap it and keep the 8 |
#8
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Re: Situation I\'m unsure of TD 2-7.
What a boring thread, everyone (including me) tosses the 8 with your read. Now if only villain were a more laggy, we could really go to town on whether to keep the 8 OOP or not.
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