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#1
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PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
I think I botched this at the turn.
Only 30 hands w/ Villain, nothing out of line. Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) converter UTG ($9.5) UTG+1 ($58.45) MP1 ($11.45) Hero ($27.7) CO ($53.1) Button ($24.65) SB ($22.3) BB ($24.75) Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.1. <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, Button calls $0.25, SB (poster) completes, BB checks. Flop: ($1.25) 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(5 players)</font> SB checks, BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1</font>, CO calls $1, Button folds, SB folds, BB calls $1. Turn: ($4.25) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $3</font>, Hero calls $3, CO folds. River: ($10.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB calls $20.50 (All-In), Hero folds. Final Pot: $30.75 |
#2
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
I don't think I'm folding this here...
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#3
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
Seems like a strange way to play a flush. What are you putting villain on? Aces up, a stupid bluff-representation, or a high flush seem like the three most likely possibilities, but I'm not sure what order those go in. I would think you're good 40% of the time here, though (66% by game theory, but you can beat more than just a bluff here.)
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#4
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
I would raise the turn, probobly $10 or so. If he calls, I would call/push the river. Unless your fairly positive that he has a flush, I make this play every time.
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#5
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
I agree with raising but I'd probly raise a small amount maby 5$ this should be enough to turn him off a bluff, and he will probly re-raise all in if he has the flush. If he does re-raise all in now you have to think he has the flush. I would give him 80% for the flush if he does go all in. If he has the flush you have 10 outs so thats about 22%. So if he does re-raise all in you'll win if you call about .2(.95) + .8(.2) = 34%..... so I forget what your pot odds are here but its up to them. If your stack is such that you wont be able to get away from the hand if you do raise his turn bet then just go all in.
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#6
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
I think it's fine and I probably play it the same. With a two-tone flop and some flatcalls, first thing that comes to my mind is: flush draw. On the turn, BB is saying: I made my flush. At the 25's, if you assume that they mean exactly what they are telling you by the way they bet, you wouldn't be too far off IMO. I think he hit his draw. You probably have the implied odds of filling up and extracting a lot of money from this guy on the river, so calling the turn is fine. Folding the river is fine too IMO.
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#7
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
Without reading your post: No.
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#8
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
[ QUOTE ]
Without reading your post: No. [/ QUOTE ] How about after reading his post? I really think I plugged a major leak in my game when I stopped making calls like this. It's a 20$ push into a 10$ pot. And that after this guy just woke up on the turn, when the flush card hit the board... Without a read, I think it's a fold. |
#9
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
Raise the turn, call a push.
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#10
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Re: PP25NL, Laying Down a Set
[ QUOTE ]
Raise the turn, call a push. [/ QUOTE ] Okay, I guess I'm just weak [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
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