I need a lock for my suicide pool this week help!!

drdre2001mm · #1 09-20-2005, 02:58 PM

Rules for the pool I am in.
1)Pick one team a week if they win your still in if they lose your out
2)CANNOT pick the same team twice.

Who is a lock for this week? So far I have used the Bills and the Eagles. I know at most there are 7 people left out of the original 50 if that matters.

lastsamurai · #2 09-20-2005, 03:04 PM

MINN....THATS MY LOCK!

#3 09-20-2005, 03:07 PM

im guessing its just straight up no spread, if so its ridiculously easy the colts would be the best bet by far, in fact i personally am betting a very high percentage of my bankroll on them to cover, there are no locks but this is as close as it gets

ElSapo · #4 09-20-2005, 03:24 PM

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in fact i personally am betting a very high percentage of my bankroll on them to cover

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Wow dude. That seems like a really bad idea. Good luck to you.

IHateKeithSmart · #5 09-20-2005, 03:36 PM

I'd go with the colts.

#6 09-20-2005, 03:49 PM

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Wow dude. That seems like a really bad idea. Good luck to you.

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When i say large i mean 15-20%, and ill probably bet the same thing on the colts against the niners without a major injury.Obviously it would suck if both bets lose but they are the bets I like most all year and its very manageable if I lose. If you still think its a bad idea please elaborate with game specific reasons or other reasons if you have them cause I really want to know.

homedog · #7 09-20-2005, 04:07 PM

San Diego over NYG on Sunday night

FishNChips · #8 09-20-2005, 05:04 PM

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San Diego over NYG on Sunday night

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Really? You don't think that SD is going to find a way to give another game away in the 2nd half? I am a Chargers fan, so maybe I'm overreacting to the first 2 weeks... but this team scares me a LOT right now. They were fortunate that the game against Denver was even close. Conversely, the Giants have looked better than advertised. I think the Colts is the pick if you are looking for a lock straight up and there are only 7 players left (so you don't have to worry about saving a team for week 9 or 10).

FishNChips

#9 09-20-2005, 05:19 PM

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Sportsbooks don't make a habit of offering easy wins. When you say you're betting a huge amount of your bankroll on one game, it is your responsibility to tell us why you're so sure if you want people to respect that decision. Because in general, betting 15-20% on a single game is a horrible idea.
And this is especially true considering that you're betting massively on Colts-Browns and Colts-Niners, so it seems like you're just planning to lay tons of points since you think the Colts are much better. In general, that is not a winning strategy.

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Ok ill give it a go. Last year i won big because i rode the colts and a eagles some on them slaughtering teams. But this was not in my decision at all this is my breakdown of the game. The jags, ravens and patriots are the 3 teams with any success at all in slowing down the colts, thus the colts averaging 19 points against them including playoffs and 39 points against any other team in the league. So I think people got swayed by the first 2 games of the colts.
I agree that there are very FEW bets that are great to bet even over the course of an entire season, but especially with the colts defense playing how it is, and the browns not having the personal to slow down the colts at all especially on the road, I just can't see a way of this being anything less of a blowout.
The way they lay the lines to have 50/50 on each side of course there are very few good lines to bet, but in the nfl theres always enough people on the other side for the spread not to get out line. I still would like to hear more replies about this, preferably about game specific things though.

homedog · #10 09-21-2005, 01:42 PM

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San Diego over NYG on Sunday night

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Really? You don't think that SD is going to find a way to give another game away in the 2nd half? I am a Chargers fan, so maybe I'm overreacting to the first 2 weeks... but this team scares me a LOT right now. They were fortunate that the game against Denver was even close. Conversely, the Giants have looked better than advertised. I think the Colts is the pick if you are looking for a lock straight up and there are only 7 players left (so you don't have to worry about saving a team for week 9 or 10).

FishNChips

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The best part of this exchange is that you're a Chargers fan who thinks the Chargers are gonna lose and I'm a Giants fan who thinks the Giants are gonna lose. There's alot going on in this game. Eli's prime time adventure to San Diego to visit the team he shunned. Chargers desperate not to fall to 0-3. The Vegas line seems like way too many points to be giving an undefeated team playing a winless squad. And that's exactly why I'm terrified of it. This Giants team is better than last year. But this is the exact kind of game that San Diego wins and then afterwards it seems obvious. Giants ain't going undefeated. San Diego ain't going winless. I think it happens this week.

That said, I agree with your assessment that Colts are a much more sensible pick for our OP's suicide pool.