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#1
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2/4 River Raise...
Opp is a uber passive 60/5 with an AF of around 1.5. The flop cap was un-intentional i was planning to just peel and either goto showdown/fold, i hadn't decided. As it happens i had an easy turn peel.
Am I up against a counterfeited two pair here enough of the time to make this raise on the river? PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (4 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is Button with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, SB calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: (5 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, SB calls. Turn: (6.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, Hero calls. River: (8.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">SB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises....</font> |
#2
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
bueno.
he like never has a better ace. flush did not come in he doens't have a T A7,A8, 87 just got f'ed up however the T might have hit his straight draw...so fold to a 3bet i think. |
#3
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
ya, i had no desire to call a 3-bet.
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#4
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
[ QUOTE ]
ya, i had no desire to call a 3-bet. [/ QUOTE ] even he is 3betting 77,88 AQ or AK pf right?! |
#5
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
Not AQ probably, and therfore that was my biggest concern. I Can't see a set here and i doubt he would 3-bet them either i tend to see sets played out of position tending to go for a c/r on turn/river.
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#6
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
if he's uberpassive enough to smooth-call with AK (it is a drawing hand, after all) and 88, I make his range:
AK (8) AQ (8) - less likely 88 (6) 77 (6) A8 (8) - would he play these offsuit? A7 (8) 87 (3) - unless he would play this offsuit. I don't think he bets the river with this. Discounted, I count 24 hands that beat you and maximally 19 hands you beat. (conceivably 24 if he calls with 87o). Still a bad raise, since he's 3-betting any FH. |
#7
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
[ QUOTE ]
if he's uberpassive enough to smooth-call with AK (it is a drawing hand, after all) and 88, I make his range: AK (8) AQ (8) - less likely 88 (6) 77 (6) A8 (8) - would he play these offsuit? A7 (8) 87 (3) - unless he would play this offsuit. I don't think he bets the river with this. Discounted, I count 24 hands that beat you and maximally 19 hands you beat. (conceivably 24 if he calls with 87o). Still a bad raise, since he's 3-betting any FH. [/ QUOTE ] 60/5 is calling 87o as well as other junk 60/5 is 3betting AQ,AK,88,77 almost always here 60/5/1.5 means he is pretty fricking aggro (if he was 18/5/1.5 he wouldn't be, but he's doing A LOT of betting/raising in A LOT of hands...so he doesn't always have the nuts, duder) |
#8
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
[ QUOTE ]
60/5/1.5 means he is pretty fricking aggro [/ QUOTE ] Depends on his wtsd%. If he folds the flop 60% of the time he's reasonably passive. |
#9
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
[ QUOTE ]
60/5 is 3betting AQ,AK,88,77 almost always here [/ QUOTE ] 60/5 is not 3-betting AQ or 77/88 and often won't 3-bet AK. |
#10
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Re: 2/4 River Raise...
[ QUOTE ]
if he's uberpassive enough to smooth-call with AK (it is a drawing hand, after all) and 88, I make his range: AK (8) AQ (8) - less likely 88 (6) 77 (6) A8 (8) - would he play these offsuit? A7 (8) 87 (3) - unless he would play this offsuit. I don't think he bets the river with this. Discounted, I count 24 hands that beat you and maximally 19 hands you beat. (conceivably 24 if he calls with 87o). Still a bad raise, since he's 3-betting any FH. [/ QUOTE ] this guy has a 60 vpip, why can't he have a worse A? |
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