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#1
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($16) JJ in the bb versus 6xbb bet and cold call
Original raiser has been involved in a several pots, and seems sane but weak. The standard opening raise, and I think this true for most levels/players, is 3-4xbb. When I saw his opening raise I immediately pegged on him 99/TT and AK/AQ with possibly 88/QQ. A medium strength worth a raise but vulnerable to a flop. The cold caller is a donk and probably has a lower PP, AQ and lower, or KQ/KJs.
Basically I don't think I really want to take a coinflip here even if I am getting 2:1. I am ahead of both of their ranges, however the 6xbb raise and the cold call I think basically eliminates my chance of buying this pot preflop. I dunno, I really didn't like pushing here but I felt that I was too far ahead to fold even though if they both called I was probably only a 50% favorite. I want to buy the pot preflop, but don't mind one caller, but I hate both of them calling. CO is awful and could call with a wide range such as KQ. Also, I think calling preflop is out of the question. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx UTG (t1030) UTG+1 (t2180) MP1 (t1640) MP2 (t1255) MP3 (t1440) CO (t1270) Button (t1725) SB (t980) Hero (t1980) Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP3 raises to t300</font>, CO calls t300, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1980 |
#2
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Re: ($16) JJ in the bb versus 6xbb bet and cold call
I think I'd push too, though I'm not terribly excited about it, it does seem better than calling or folding. I also agree with the hand ranges you've put your opponents on. I wouldn't be surprised to find you are racing one and have the other dominated, or that they are sharing an out. Either way I'd expect to be up against 8 collective outs.
What % of the time do you expect one of them will drop to your shove? I'm thinking about 30-40% of the time one of them folds. Sound about right? |
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