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#1
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How would you calculate hitting a King or Ace Flop if you\'re have AK
WHat is the correct math for this? There are 50 other cards and there are 6 aces or kings left. There are 3 cards on the flop? Can someone please show me the math
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#2
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Re: How would you calculate hitting a King or Ace Flop if you\'re have AK
Easiest way, I think, is to take the odds of NOT hitting and then subtract from 1.
You hold A-K. There are C(50,3) possible flops. There are C(44,3) possilbe flops without an A or a K. 1 - C(44,3)/C(50,3) = ~32.43% |
#3
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Re: How would you calculate hitting a King or Ace Flop if you\'re have AK
Just to learn a bit more myself I did it the long way:
<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> Flop Combo's Axx C(3,1)*C(44,2) 2838 14.48% AAx C(3,2)*C(44,1) 132 0.67% AAA C(3,3) 1 0.01% Kxx C(3,1)*C(44,2) 2838 14.48% KKx C(3,2)*C(44,1) 132 0.67% KKK C(3,3) 1 0.01% AKx C(3,1)*C(3,1)*C(44,1) 396 2.02% AAK C(3,2)*C(3,1) 9 0.05% KKA C(3,2)*C(3,1) 9 0.05% Total 6356 Probability 32.43% </pre><hr /> |
#4
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Re: How would you calculate hitting a King or Ace Flop if you\'re have
If your hole cards are unpaired, you will pair at least one of your cards on the flop 32.4% of the time. Simple as that.
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#5
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Re: How would you calculate hitting a King or Ace Flop if you\'re have AK
A rule of thumb for hitting one or more of your cards on the flop is 5.5% times number of outs. Examples below:
AK hitting one or more: =6*5.5 = 33% AX hitting an Ace: = 3*5.5 = 16.5% KQ and having an ace come on flop = 4*5.5% = 22% Cobra |
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