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#1
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Fold Top Two?
Stars $20 NL SNG
Fairly early, stacks relatively equal. 15/30 blinds UTG raise to 90, 3 callers, I call on the button with QcJd I know this is very loose, but I figure if I can catch a flop here I can take down a big pot risking less than 10% of my stack. Flop is TJQ with 2 spades. UTG raiser bets 350, MP goes all in, next in line calls. So we now have a huge pot with UTG likely to also call. I know I'm up against AK and some type of flush draw, and against one opponent it's an easy fold, but what about here? I have 6 outs to the boat which is very likely to win the whole pot. It seems like I don't have the odds to call, but what about the implied odds of having a huge stack with 6 players left. I ended up calling and busting out, but I think it was the wrong decision. Comments appreciated. |
#2
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Re: Fold Top Two?
[ QUOTE ]
I know I'm up against AK and some type of flush draw, and against one opponent it's an easy fold, but what about here? [/ QUOTE ] then well, this is a really, really easy fold. [ QUOTE ] I have 6 outs to the boat which is very likely to win the whole pot. It seems like I don't have the odds to call, but what about the implied odds of having a huge stack with 6 players left. [/ QUOTE ] they'd have to be pretty impressive odds, wouldn't they, to justify busting out at this point 75% of the time or whatever, wouldn't they? c |
#3
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Re: Fold Top Two?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I know I'm up against AK and some type of flush draw, and against one opponent it's an easy fold, but what about here? [/ QUOTE ] then well, this is a really, really easy fold. [ QUOTE ] I have 6 outs to the boat which is very likely to win the whole pot. It seems like I don't have the odds to call, but what about the implied odds of having a huge stack with 6 players left. [/ QUOTE ] they'd have to be pretty impressive odds, wouldn't they, to justify busting out at this point 75% of the time or whatever, wouldn't they? c [/ QUOTE ] It's at least 82-83% of the time, and I think probably closer to 90%, according to poker stove and some basic hand range assumptions. |
#4
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Re: Fold Top Two?
Stop calling with QJo, simple.
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#5
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Re: Fold Top Two?
You have 4 outs, not 6 if they have your 2 pair beat.
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#6
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Re: Fold Top Two?
[ QUOTE ]
You have no more than 4 outs, not 6, since they have your 2 pair beat. [/ QUOTE ] FYP. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] |
#7
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Re: Fold Top Two?
TWO outs. Yes [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]
Thanks for the replies. It was an EASY fold. |
#8
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Re: Fold Top Two?
[ QUOTE ]
Stop calling with QJo, simple. [/ QUOTE ] |
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