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#1
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Kings, Paired Board
Villain is 60/3/1.5 after 30 hands, so he's bad.
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) internettexasholdem.com SB ($96.60) BB ($93.80) UTG ($245.05) MP ($352.99) Hero ($110.62) Button ($87.10) Preflop: Hero is CO with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $0.50. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $5</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls $4. Flop: ($10.50) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $5</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $15</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to $25</font>, Hero calls $10. Turn: ($60.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $30</font>, BB calls $30. River: ($120.50) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> BB checks, Hero checks. How's my line? I figure I charge flush draws and get a good amount from a weaker overpair. I considered pushing the turn but I think I want to keep worse hands along at the wrong price. I considered checking but A high spade gets off cheap. I was planning on calling a push on a blank river |
#2
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
Fold to the flop 3-bet. It's unlikely that he has less than trips.
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#3
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to the flop 3-bet. It's unlikely that he has less than trips. [/ QUOTE ] I took it to be him overvaluing a PP since the board paired. Guess it depends on how thoughtful you assume the opponent to be in this situation (i.e. my raising is a bluff since nobody bets a paired board with the goods, 2 me raising is not a bluff because of the flush draw, 3 the oppeonent thinking "he has overcards so I should bet", 4 I like my hand and don't care what the other guy has). 4 can be any kind of hand depending on the individual villain. I don't know what percentage you could generalize that this is a PP vs this is the trips and I'd be interested to hear peoples oppinion on this for the 100NL level. Had he led the turn I would have been very inclined to fold. |
#4
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to the flop 3-bet. It's unlikely that he has less than trips. [/ QUOTE ] According to the few numbers you have, Merc, this guy is NOT aggressive. When he leads then 3-bets on this board, you aren't going to be ahead often against a typical player. |
#5
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
With those numbers I agree villian is not 3betting with a draw but rather a made hand on the flop. Folding to the 3 bet is reasonable.
On the turn he probably fears a flush himself and is holding some middle kicker 9. I don't think charging a naked A is necessary as I don't think it's that likely of a holding. He may have given you a free showdown. |
#6
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
Fold to the flop 3-bet. It's unlikely that he has less than trips. [/ QUOTE ] Against this opponent, I'm continuing. No, he hasn't been ultra aggresive yet, but people over value their over pairs (and even under pairs here) in my experience and they sloooowplay their trips at this level. Just the opposite at other levels. |
#7
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
Bump. If you agree with PoBoy, quote him. If you think the flop call is ok, I'd appreciate some more thoughts on the turn onward.
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#8
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
You guys seem to have a good read on the villain, but usually at 100NL this could easily be a smaller overpair. I don't mind checking when the flush card hits the turn and value betting the river if he checks again.
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#9
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
I usually just call the flop here. Pretty drawless board, and we are way ahead to a smaller PP, and way behind 9x. I think the turn is spewing. Villain showed a lot of strength on the flop, I would want to get to the river and keep the pot smaller. You can valuebet the river if he checks again.
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#10
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Re: Kings, Paired Board
[ QUOTE ]
I usually just call the flop here. Pretty drawless board, and we are way ahead to a smaller PP, and way behind 9x. I think the turn is spewing. Villain showed a lot of strength on the flop, I would want to get to the river and keep the pot smaller. You can valuebet the river if he checks again. [/ QUOTE ] Against this opponent, I like the flop raise. Also either villian outflopped us - unlikely, or we're ahead here most of the time. Tpyically with marginal hands, checking the turn is standard, but here you want to get some more money in against TT-QQ and other under pairs while you're a big favorite. Hand reading right? |
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