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#1
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betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
so i had recently been playing fairly aggressively and BB was aggressive, so i thought i'm probably over 40% vs. his range. losing here i'd be in redzone. winning im in good shape, and folding i'm in midzone.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (8 handed) converter Hero (t3225) SB (t15455) BB (t2370) UTG (t1550) UTG+1 (t10870) MP1 (t3485) MP2 (t2460) CO (t1265) Preflop: Hero is Button with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t400</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB raises to t2370</font>, Hero calls t1970. |
#2
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
If you think you're 40% against his range then you need 1.5 to 1 odds just to make this a neutral decision. You're getting almost exactly 1.5 to 1 odds. So this isn't a +EV call. Nor is it a -EV call. It all gets back to whether or not variance is good for variance's stake. You certainly have a big enough stack to play with if you fold. And I think a goal in any money making activity should be to maximize returns while limiting variance. So I wouldn't make this call but am certainly open to other ideas as to why it's a good thing.
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#3
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
[ QUOTE ]
It all gets back to whether or not variance is good for variance's stake. [/ QUOTE ] exactly. thats why i felt like at this point variance is my friend since either way i'll be in a more profitable zone stackwise. |
#4
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
I don't understand why you think the "red" zone is more profitable than a middle zone.
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#5
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
yea, this is definitely not right.
Just because more hands become profitable to push/play aggressivly. Doesnt mean it's amore profitable 'zone' to be in. |
#6
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
[ QUOTE ]
I don't understand why you think the "red" zone is more profitable than a middle zone [/ QUOTE ] this thread: better to be in redzone? |
#7
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
Well only you and betgo thought that concept had any merit to begin with. I don't believe it does.
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#8
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
I give the theory 1.5 thumbs up.
I don't know, I'm seeing some parallels to Giga' Q3o in this. |
#9
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
It's not even close.
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#10
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Re: betgo\'s red zone idea in practice
[ QUOTE ]
I give the theory 1.5 thumbs up. I don't know, I'm seeing some parallels to Giga' Q3o in this. [/ QUOTE ] heh. yep. i was thinking the same thing. |
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