TT facing a reraise

[schwza]

$62 buy-in at the sahara in vegas. ~25 left out of 80, 7 pay.

i have 13.5k, blinds 500/1k. average is ~10-11k.

my image should be very aggro. a few hands ago i raised a limper with QQ and doubled through AK. over the two orbits before that, i open-pushed or pushed over 1 limper three times for ~4-6k and won without a showdown. no one else at the table has raised more than once in the last 4 orbits, but everyone has shown a shocking desire to limp-fold for 1/5 of their stack.

villain has raised at least twice over the 5-6 orbits i've been at his table. once he showed AA and once he showed AQ. he's also limped a handful of times.

it's folded to me (13.5k) in MP1 and i open for 2.5k with TT. villain (16k) pushes.

i think i have a sizable skill edge on the field.

what's my play?

[durron597]

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Easiest fold ever?

[schwza]

[ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Easiest fold ever?

[/ QUOTE ]

i forgot to say this, but villain is button. there is 6.5k in dead money in the middle, and i'm facing a raise of 11k, so i have to be about 38% to make the call.

i don't have pokerstove at work, but i think it's a pretty big chipEV mistake to fold if his range is, say, 99+, AQ+. i think if he's a good player, his reraising range will be wider given how aggro i look.

do you disagree?

[A_PLUS]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Easiest fold ever?

[/ QUOTE ]

i forgot to say this, but villain is button. there is 6.5k in dead money in the middle, and i'm facing a raise of 11k, so i have to be about 38% to make the call.

i don't have pokerstove at work, but i think it's a pretty big chipEV mistake to fold if his range is, say, 99+, AQ+. i think if he's a good player, his reraising range will be wider given how aggro i look.

do you disagree?

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you think he is good? If the field is truely that weak, it really distorts CEV~$EV calcs.

[schwza]

i don't know if he's good. he hasn't done anything unreasonable yet.

[schwza]

[ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] Easiest fold ever?

[/ QUOTE ]

sigh.... yes, it probably was. as you could probably tell, this is largely a "please tell me i didn't screw as bad as i think i did" post. i call and - this could have been the motto of my vegas trip it happened so many @#$%$%@ times - he showed me aces.

i did play in a pretty juicy side game though (i should've mentioned that'd be an option) and won my buy-in back pretty quickly [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

this is definitely the single play i regret most from my trip though.

[durron597]

I dunno man, TT is really weak against that player's likely range. I would have considered myself lucky if he had AK.

[schwza]

[ QUOTE ]
I dunno man, TT is really weak against that player's likely range. I would have considered myself lucky if he had AK.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes, i'm obviously lucky if he has AK. pretty much the only reason i can consider a call is that i want to get into a 55-45 where i only need to win 38%, giving me a nice overlay.

if he pushes with AQ+/JJ+ then i have some chipEV overlay, but maybe not enough to risk my stack. i have to believe there is some non-zero chance he is playing back at a perceived maniac with 66/A7s/etc, or at least more AJ/KQ-type hands, in order to make a call significantly +EV.

[woodguy]

[ QUOTE ]
i think i have a sizable skill edge on the field.



[/ QUOTE ]

I think that the above quote, coupled with you still having 100BB's on the fold make it a fold.

What do you think his range is?

Regards,
Woodguy

[schwza]

[ QUOTE ]
coupled with you still having 100BB's

[/ QUOTE ]

?