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  #1  
Old 07-06-2005, 08:58 AM
trevorwc trevorwc is offline
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Default How long until the first person is knocked out?

Will someone be knocked out on the first hand of the main event(on any of the 3 days)? Just doing some quick math, 1 in 221 for pocket AA, so roughly 10 people (of 2200) will get AA in the first hand each day. That's 30 people who will start their tournament with rockets. And since about 1 in 24 times there is ALSO a KK, that means the numbers say their will likely be an AA vs KK somewhere on the first hand of the ME. And that's usually a recipe for fireworks, especially if they are two internet players who ram-and-jam. Obviously a LOT of people are going to have to get knocked off quick on each of the day one's, but hand 1? Maybe that hypothetical that so many people talk about (someone moves all-in and you have KK, do you call?) will actually come through.
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  #2  
Old 07-06-2005, 09:03 AM
sekrah sekrah is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?


I would guesstimate that it's quite likely multiple players are eliminated on the first hand on all 3 days.
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  #3  
Old 07-06-2005, 09:06 AM
jcmack13 jcmack13 is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

My roommates are both gonna be there, and we set the over-under at ten minutes for the earliest elimination on any of the first days in the ME, and I took the under.

Just hope it's not one of them.
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  #4  
Old 07-06-2005, 09:07 AM
sekrah sekrah is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

[ QUOTE ]
My roommates are both gonna be there, and we set the over-under at ten minutes for the earliest elimination on any of the first days in the ME, and I took the under.


[/ QUOTE ]

I think you made a GREAT bet!.. I think you are a huge favorite to win that.
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  #5  
Old 07-06-2005, 09:11 AM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

If you got even odds on this then your roommates are morons.

There is virtually no way you won't win this bet.

Even 3 or 4 minutes would be tough for them to win.
10 minutes?? Are you kidding??
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  #6  
Old 07-06-2005, 09:31 AM
Jonathan Jonathan is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

[ QUOTE ]


There is virtually no way you won't win this bet.

Even 3 or 4 minutes would be tough for them to win.
10 minutes?? Are you kidding??

[/ QUOTE ]

That's exactly what I was thinking!

Suerte,
Jonathan
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  #7  
Old 07-06-2005, 11:35 AM
flo flo is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

[ QUOTE ]
My roommates are both gonna be there, and we set the over-under at ten minutes for the earliest elimination on any of the first days in the ME, and I took the under.

Just hope it's not one of them.

[/ QUOTE ]
Very easy money for you.
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  #8  
Old 07-06-2005, 11:41 AM
drewjustdrew drewjustdrew is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
My roommates are both gonna be there, and we set the over-under at ten minutes for the earliest elimination on any of the first days in the ME, and I took the under.

Just hope it's not one of them.

[/ QUOTE ]
Very easy money for you.

[/ QUOTE ]

In 10 minutes, I predict a minimum of 50 bustouts over the 3 day ones.
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  #9  
Old 07-06-2005, 11:47 AM
scott8 scott8 is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

I've played in 4 events so far and witnessed 2 people get the boot on the first hand - not at my table, but right next door.
In 10 minutes, of all 4 events I witnessed multiple people rising from their chairs.
Too many things can happen - including those middle level pros who think they can put pressure on you by going all-in on the first hand, b/c surely you won't call on the first hand, and then the look when you do call is priceless, or so I imagine.
-SC
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  #10  
Old 07-06-2005, 12:29 PM
Howard Treesong Howard Treesong is offline
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Default Re: How long until the first person is knocked out?

[ QUOTE ]
In 10 minutes, I predict a minimum of 50 bustouts over the 3 day ones.

[/ QUOTE ]

That's a pretty good line, Drew. But it's going to suffer from proof problems. The room is going to be chaotic. I'll see if I can note however many I see.

Hopefully, I won't be one of 'em. But I don't think I'll be dumping top set to a one-gap filler board like 8 T Q, unless I know my opponent well.
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