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#1
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Taking into consideration the stack sizes...it's pretty clear that I can just fold into the money.
I am UTG. Big stack is BB. ***** Hand History for Game 2259075738 ***** 400/800 TourneyTexasHTGameTable (NL) (Tournament 13382589) - Sat Jun 25 00:55:07 EDT 2005 Table Table 19564 (Real Money) -- Seat 9 is the button Total number of players : 4 Seat 4: ajmian (1055) Seat 5: wwwobbe (6700) Seat 8: Hero (1870) Seat 9: Jim22Bullets (375) ajmian posts small blind (200) wwwobbe posts big blind (400) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to Hero [ Ks, Ah ] Hero - push, call, or fold? |
#2
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ICM
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#3
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[ QUOTE ]
ICM [/ QUOTE ] gonna have to learn how to use that one day... [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img] |
#4
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AKo is too strong a hand to make this questionable. This is a definite push. Now, a hand like KQ or A5s, that's a tougher call.
And now, with analysis, with BB calling range of (22+,A2s+,A3o+,KTs+,KJo+,QJs) and SB/BTN of (TT+,AQs+,AKo), it's +.7% to push. Even with BB at (22+,A2+,K5+,Q9+) and others at (TT+,AQs+,AKo), it's still +.2%. I just can't pass up the chance to hit ~4000 and run for 1st v. scraping for 3rd. |
#5
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How about if you had pushed the previous hand...making the current push look more like a bluff?
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#6
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even better. i think the fear is more 'what if they have a coinflip hand' going into this situation where you could sneak in. I love it even more, the looser image I have here. Perhaps that is misguided but I love chasing that first place. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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#7
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I think this is terrible poker. You can't get into a confrontation that is anywhere near profitable here, at least against big stack. Getting called with 32o by big stack is not a good thing. If you want to win money, you've got to squeak into the money at times. In a spot very much like this, I had a big stack that was willing to call my push with any 2, and I mean any 2. In that case, you really should be able to lay this down either after limping or open-folding.
That said, unless big stack and others loosen up a lot, push it. |
#8
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btw this is completely insane, if you move allin, theres no @#^@^ way in hell you want the big stack to call you. If you do want the big stack to call you then you are just wrong and have a huge lack of understanding of what your goals are in a sit and go. I'm not sure if this is what you were implying though, it was hard for me to figure out.
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#9
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push push
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
btw this is completely insane, if you move allin, theres no @#^@^ way in hell you want the big stack to call you. If you do want the big stack to call you then you are just wrong and have a huge lack of understanding of what your goals are in a sit and go. [/ QUOTE ] OK...now I'm a little confused, the more I read the replies and the hand, thinking on it...I just don't know. A standard 2.5-3xbb raises is more than 1/2 your stack, so you might as well push if you're going to play the hand. 4 handed, I HAVE to think I have the best of it at this point and picking up the blinds would add 600 chips and if I double up, then I have a great shot at 1st. The ONLY other option in my mind is to fold, taking into account the short-stack will be blinded out. Now I'm not a fan of "folding into the money" but in this specific case... I don't see how you can limp, calling off nearly 1/4 of your stack, just to fold on a non-scary board...and what do if the BB pops it...fold? So what's the prevailing thought here then? Fold into the money? |
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