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#1
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Spot the mistake...
I think I need help…
Live £5 ($10) r&a tournament – 120 starters. Re-buys period ended 15 minutes ago. 7 players + big stack just moved to my immediate left, but sitting out this hand. Hero is CO with 1700 plus change. Blinds 50/100 and will rise to 100/200 in about 5 minutes. Players to hero’s left have been respecting his raises, B and BB both have hero covered. UTG +1 has hero covered and has been raising 50%+ hands including 3 of the last 4. He has called re-raises with J9s and A4o in the last 10 minutes or so. UTG+1 raises to 400, Hero looks down at A8o and…er…calls! Duh! I’m guessing no one calls here? But what action should hero have taken? Steve |
#2
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Re: Spot the mistake...
fold
there are much better spots. you can't not go broke if an A flops, and you'll be dominated very often. just wait for a better hand or opportunity than this. you'd much rather raise first in w/ this hand than call one. |
#3
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Re: Spot the mistake...
Thanks dmk.
I’m not sure that there are going to be better spots. I’m facing a raise in front of me most hands, so am not getting the opportunity to open raise/steal. Additionally, an unknown big stack has just sat at my left. I’m going to face the blinds twice in the next 13 hands, once at 50/100 and once at 100/200, so potentially will be down to 1350’ish or 7BB if I don’t hit a hand. If I then double through I’ll be back up to 14BB, which is worse off than I am now. I don’t think that I can afford to miss any opportunity to accumulate chips at this stage. Steve |
#4
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Re: Spot the mistake...
Might I get more equity by raising to 800 or 900?
Additional information (that I should of included in my original post). I’m pretty sure that the button and blinds will only call/raise a re-raise from me with a monster. I’m 90% positive that utg+1 will call any smaller raise, but am guessing he will lay down 50% of his hands to an ai. UTG has also been significantly less aggressive post flop and I think he will lay down to a reasonable bet if he misses. Steve |
#5
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Re: Spot the mistake...
Just because I wouldn't mind taking a 60/40 edge here to double up, I would push. I mean, there's a small chance he'd fold, but given his hand range, there's a large chance you're ahead (likely by 60/40, but possibly by more). Also, with only two to act behind you, there's a large chance you'll be heads up with him, which is obviously ideal.
Poooosh! |
#6
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Re: Spot the mistake...
I'll cheerfully take a coin flip here!
Steve |
#7
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Re: Spot the mistake...
This is a fold or move in situation. Given how short you are compared to everyone else, I think you should probably shove.
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#8
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Re: Spot the mistake...
I fold here. If you can get past the blinds you will still have some FE with a lot of hands to go before the blinds orbit again. Don't want to see a dominated ace here.
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#9
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Re: Spot the mistake...
if villian has really been raising 50% of his hands, u gotta push here.
a simple rule to remember: A8 is never ever ever a hand to call a raise with. ever. (It is always a reraise or fold) -Scott |
#10
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Re: Spot the mistake...
Thanks Scott
Playing the hand, I had no intention of calling. I briefly considered folding, but thought this was too good an opportunity to pass up at stage where I need to accumulate chips. So my only decision was how much to raise. (I’m still wondering whether ai is the only move here?). I heard someone say call and was horrified to realise that it was me. Oh well… …button calls. SB, short stack of 800’ish calls. Flop comes AJ3 all clubs, of which I have none. SB, and original raiser check. Pot is 1650, I go ai for my remaining 1300. Steve |
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