Thats not a Knife....THIS is a Knife

[Firefly]

3+R Just past the rebuy so no solid reads
Thoughts?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

MP2 (t8400)
MP3 (t7479)
CO (t5645)
Button (t7633)
SB (t12807)
BB (t5075)
UTG (t2680)
Hero (t16322)
MP1 (t18917)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls t200, Hero calls t200, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP2 calls t200, MP3 calls t200, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Button calls t200, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (t1400) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(7 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets t1100</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises to t2200</font>, MP3 folds, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t7433</font>, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero pukes and...

Looks like one of them has either JQ or a set.

[AtticusFinch]

[ QUOTE ]
Looks like one of them has either JQ or a set.

[/ QUOTE ]

Set is not very likely considering hero has 2-pair. Only 5 possible hands make a set here. QJ is more likely, but so are hands like AT, JT, AJ, etc. I think you're ahead more often than you're behind, and you have outs against everything but TT.

[CardSharpCook]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Looks like one of them has either JQ or a set.

[/ QUOTE ]

Set is not very likely considering hero has 2-pair. Only 5 possible hands make a set here. QJ is more likely, but so are hands like AT, JT, AJ, etc. I think you're ahead more often than you're behind, and you have outs against everything but TT.

[/ QUOTE ]

running nines. Sometimes you gotta squint to see your outs.

hero folds preflop [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

hmm I dunno, I grudgingly fold if you have a good size stack, dangerous flop with all those limpers.

[MLG]

i fold here. nice title.

[Che]

[ QUOTE ]
i fold here

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you serious, Mike?

[MLG]

in a 3 dollar rebuy sat (where most of the play is loose passive)when you have two guys behind you raise on a 8910 flop I'd say if your ahead of their ranges it aint by much. I'm ok folding in this spot. Now if the table was playing active I'd suck it up and stick it in.

[MLG]

then again i folded AK preflop yesterday for the first time in ages and was up against JJ and 55. bah.

[Che]

Hero is getting 2:1 to call the button if MP folds. Top 2 is too good to fold there IMHO, especially since Hero will still have a strong stack if he loses.

MP's minraise makes it close, but there are so many drawing hands, combo hands, and weaker made hands out there on this flop that I think I'm willing to take a chance.

Hero still has 40BB's even if MP comes along and wins, ya know. [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

But that's all just my gut reaction. Somebody might be able to demonstrate that I'm way off base by actually doing a little math.

Later,
Che