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#1
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No Royal in 100k Hands?
Math makes my head hurt.
I was checking out my PokerTracker stats and noticed that in 100k hands, I've never had a Royal Flush. This includes all hands, even those that I folded preflop or at any point. If anyone cares to give me the odds on this, I'd be curious. Thanks. |
#2
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Re: No Royal in 100k Hands?
=BINOMDIST(0,100000,4 * COMBIN(47,2)/COMBIN(52,7),FALSE)
or about 3.95% of the time you will not have one in 100k hands. |
#3
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Re: No Royal in 100k Hands?
[ QUOTE ]
=BINOMDIST(0,100000,4 * COMBIN(47,2)/COMBIN(52,7),FALSE) [/ QUOTE ] Huh? |
#4
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Re: No Royal in 100k Hands?
To put it simpler: The probability of getting a royal is 1/30940. The probability of not getting a royal is 30939/30940. So:
(30939/30940)^100000 = ~3.95% |
#5
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Re: No Royal in 100k Hands?
Of course this assumes you play every hand to the river. There may have been times where you would have had a royal but didn't stay in the hand.
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#6
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Re: No Royal in 100k Hands?
[ QUOTE ]
This includes all hands, even those that I folded preflop or at any point. If anyone cares to give me the odds on this, I'd be curious. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Of course this assumes you play every hand to the river. There may have been times where you would have had a royal but didn't stay in the hand. [/ QUOTE ] |
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