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#1
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Stars $150. Blinds 25/50, I'm in the BB with 1800 chips, Pete has just over 3K. EP limp, The beat completes and I get a free play with 8 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
Flop is 9 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 2 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] The Beat bets the pot (150) and I raise it to 450. EP folds and now he pushes. I hate when free plays cost me money. I haven't played with him very often, but I have been at a table with him 3 or 4 times in the last month. I have no clue if he's even noticed how i play though but I'll assume he has a good read on me...ie I'm pretty tight, and I do lay down a lot of hands. Still I can't believe he thinks I'd lay down anything but a bluff here, which makes me think even more that he's real strong. I used up most of my time bank trying to work this out, and I decided that he more likely had an overpair or a real good 9 than a better hand and I called. Am I overthinking this? |
#2
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Unless he has 98 or 2s2h, I think you're ahead. I would assume most aggressive players dont like limping with middle pocket pairs and would raise preflop. I think he's much more likely to have JT, QT, Face9 or an overpair way more often than he has 98, 92, or a set.
Edit: oops didnt see EP limp and thought it was blind vs blind battle. I think that makes overpairs less likely and 99, 88 more likely, but I still think you're ahead of his range. |
#3
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[ QUOTE ]
Unless he has 98 or 2s2h, I think you're ahead. I would assume most aggressive players dont like limping with middle pocket pairs and would raise preflop. I think he's much more likely to have JT, QT, Face9 or an overpair way more often than he has 98, 92, or a set. Edit: oops didnt see EP limp and thought it was blind vs blind battle. I think that makes overpairs less likely and 99, 88 more likely, but I still think you're ahead of his range. [/ QUOTE ] I agree that you're ahead of his range here. I'm gonna echo everyone else and say you're more likely to see a hand like J10 or A9 rather than a hand that beats you. |
#4
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If he shows you 98 or 92 so be it. I doubt he'd play a set this fast. I'm definitely getting my chips in the middle here.
I think you'll see A9 and JT a fair amount of time here. I dont think you'll see many overpairs though.... |
#5
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I want to say yes, you are...but you play quite a bit higher than I do :-) Anyway, mostly responding to tell you I read through a bit of the series you did a few years ago on starting to play poker for a living and quite enjoyed it.
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#6
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he plays aggressively and is willing to go out early. He could have 99 88 89 overpair or TJ or 67 but I'm guessing you're ahead and I'd call.
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#7
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pete is crazy loose...I played at his table right at the bubble of the 2004 WSOP. he made a crazy move and sucked out bigtime...guy likes to gamble and is willing to lose it all to gain chips:
blinds were 2k/4k and pete was in the BB with 2 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 3 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], all fold around the button who makes it like 4xBB. pete re-raises....both these guys had well over 150k in chips....unreal...so the button calls and the pot is like 60k or so. we learn later the button had A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] flop was random and hit neither of them but contained two clubs, so pete checks and the button puts out like 20k...pete comes over the top ALL-IN! button has him covered and makes the call.......unreal pete turns over his rags and says 'nice call'.... sure enough, you know the rest of the board... runner, runner [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] and pete makes the nut low flush.....guy goes on to finish in the top 50 or so! moral of the story...pete can play any two like the nuts! good luck! |
#8
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Call.
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#9
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The Beat is a huge LAG. From what I have seen, he could do this with an OESD to a one-pair hand as bad as J9. I believe you are well ahead of his range and would call.
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#10
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call.
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