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#1
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15/30 JJ
UTG+1 is a well-known 2+2er. MP1 is a 60/5/1.5 fish who I know would have raised the flop with a Q.
Party Poker 15/30 Hold'em (9 max, 9 handed) pokerhand.org hand converter Preflop: I am CO with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">I 3-bet</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls. Flop: (10.66 SB) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, MP1 calls, I call. Turn: (6.83 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, MP1 calls, <font color="#CC3333">I raise</font>, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls. River: (12.83 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">I bet</font> |
#2
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Re: 15/30 JJ
What do you expect to call you for value?
- Jim |
#3
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Re: 15/30 JJ
[ QUOTE ]
What do you expect to call you for value? [/ QUOTE ] It's a valuebluff. The fish will call with any pair here. |
#4
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Re: 15/30 JJ
I think it's very unlikely that your opponent will fold the winning hand 1-in-13 times even in a "protected" pot but I'm probably off-base here. edumacate me.
- Jim |
#5
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Re: 15/30 JJ
[ QUOTE ]
What do you expect to call you for value? - Jim [/ QUOTE ] It's a valuebluff if I'm reading this correctly. |
#6
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Re: 15/30 JJ
I don't think UTG+1 will fold a better hand often enough.
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#7
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Re: 15/30 JJ
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think UTG+1 will fold a better hand often enough. [/ QUOTE ] I think if he is calling the turn raise then he is likely going to SD. I'm kinda unsure about the rest of the hand as well, I'll have to take a closer look... |
#8
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Re: 15/30 JJ
I really don't like your river bet. UTG+1 appears to have you beat and is not going to lay it down as the pot is so big.
SGS |
#9
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Re: 15/30 JJ
[ QUOTE ]
I really don't like your river bet. UTG+1 appears to have you beat and is not going to lay it down as the pot is so big. [/ QUOTE ] What if he reads my raise as a free showdown raise and doesn't expect me to fire again? What if he thinks I'm getting crazy with AK and calls with 88/99? What if he folds JJ? What about the fact that I don't have to fold AQ/KQ that often? |
#10
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Re: 15/30 JJ
[ QUOTE ]
What if he thinks I'm getting crazy with AK and calls with 88/99? [/ QUOTE ] Are you really ever gonna go crazy like this with AK when you have a protected pot and a bad player that is calling you down with as you said any pair? Do you think he would bet the flop and turn with 99/88? [ QUOTE ] What about the fact that I don't have to fold AQ/KQ that often? [/ QUOTE ] 2p2er is thinking my AQ/KQ only has to be good 1 in 14 or whatever, so I think he is folding those two hands about never. It just seems to me that all hands that beat you are calling and all hands that you beat are folding. SGS |
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