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#1
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Can you safely fold this TT on the turn?
Only been on the table a short time, no particularly good reads yet. His play is very suggestive of a higher pocket pair, and I very much wanted to fold here, but my current tendency is to check call these down; I'm pretty sure its wrong though. Now I'm thinking fold on the turn. Thoughts?
Party Poker 3/6 Hold'em (10 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is MP3 with T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">4 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO caps</font>, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, MP2 calls, Hero calls. Flop: (13.33 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> MP2 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, MP2 folds, Hero calls. Turn: (8.66 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls. River: (10.66 BB) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">CO bets</font>, Hero calls. Final Pot: 12.66 BB |
#2
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Re: Can you safely fold this TT on the turn?
You are getting ~ 5:1 odds to call down from the turn. Does he hold AK 20% of the time here?
Assuming a capping range of AA-JJ & AK, he is twice as likely to have a big pair, as AK. But, he raises your flop bet despite you having 3-bet pre-flop - making a big pair much more likely. If he has AK, he also has 6 outs on the river - so I think this is a turn fold for me. |
#3
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Re: Can you safely fold this TT on the turn?
My standard line is to CR the flop and go from there. If he 3-bets and follows through on the turn, I fold. If he smooth calls and raises the turn, I fold. All else, bet, bet, bet.
- Jim |
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