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View Poll Results: Will GWB be an Anchor? | |||
Yes | 24 | 58.54% | |
No | 17 | 41.46% | |
Voters: 41. You may not vote on this poll |
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#1
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I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
Party 10/20, full ring. 4 folds, and then a terrible fish limps. A 13/8 player (Jason says over 2300 hands, but my read is that he's aggro and decent but overaggro in the wrong spots and definitely capable of realizing his position and concepts like isolation etc) now raises. Next player, a TAG, folds. You're OTB with AQo.
You... |
#2
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
easy 3-bet, if hes aware of position and isolation, hes raising light here
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#3
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
Easy three-bet.
AT is in his range. As is AJ. And KQ. And KJ. And maybe even A9s and KTs. Will |
#4
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
If he's fully capable of realizing good preflop isolation plays, blind steals, etc, wouldn't it be likely over 2300 hands that he would do this often enough to push his pfr > 8%?
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#5
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
[ QUOTE ]
If he's fully capable of realizing good preflop isolation plays, blind steals, etc, wouldn't it be likely over 2300 hands that he would do this often enough to push his pfr > 8%? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that's my argument against. |
#6
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If he's fully capable of realizing good preflop isolation plays, blind steals, etc, wouldn't it be likely over 2300 hands that he would do this often enough to push his pfr > 8%? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that's my argument against. [/ QUOTE ] My guess is there's at least a 3% margin of error in a sample as small as 2300 hands. Just a guess, based on how I've seen myself portrayed over 1k, 2k, and 5k hand samples. Rob |
#7
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
[ QUOTE ]
My guess is there's at least a 3% margin of error in a sample as small as 2300 hands. Just a guess, based on how I've seen myself portrayed over 1k, 2k, and 5k hand samples. Rob [/ QUOTE ] A 95% confidence interval is plus or minus 1.3%, assuming his true PFR is .12 |
#8
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
So he could actually be a much tighter raiser then?
Lost Wages |
#9
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
[ QUOTE ]
So he could actually be a much tighter raiser then? Lost Wages [/ QUOTE ] Not much tighter, but tighter, yes (in the same way that he could be a looser raiser, but not incredibly loose). I figured he was likely around a 6-10% PFR. Rob |
#10
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Re: I\'m turning jason into a LAG. The AQo test?
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] If he's fully capable of realizing good preflop isolation plays, blind steals, etc, wouldn't it be likely over 2300 hands that he would do this often enough to push his pfr > 8%? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, that's my argument against. [/ QUOTE ] so... do you think he raises the exact same hand range from any position or situation? i think he raises less than 8% of his hands from UTG right? this means hes going to have to raise more than 8% from somewhere to even it out at 8, i think hes definatley raising light from this spot and we have an easy 3-bet edit: see my post directly above for more on why |
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