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#1
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kk utg agianst tag.
Villian is 16/10/2.33 over 100 hands, solid player, doesnt seem to get out of line.
On the turn I put him on jj, or aa, cant really see him 3 betting anything else preflop, and raising the turn. Whats your line on the turn? PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx Preflop: Hero is UTG with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">6 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP1 calls. Flop: (9.50 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP1 calls. Turn: (7.75 BB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 raises</font>, Hero ? |
#2
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
You're probably losing, but I would call down, hoping to see QQ.
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#3
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
Do you think this is an easy call down? Im still torn between the right play here, folding seems to weak, but it appears that the only thing im ahead of here is QQ.
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#4
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
You are ahead of only q/q but there aren't many other hands he can have. OKOKOK...maybe j/j still a 1 in 3 chance of winning. Easy call down.
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#5
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
I could see him having these hands you beat/tie:
AJ TT KK ?? Ya, it doesn't look good against this guy, but you're getting 5.5-1 on a call down to the turn raise. |
#6
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
[ QUOTE ]
Do you think this is an easy call down? Im still torn between the right play here, folding seems to weak, but it appears that the only thing im ahead of here is QQ. [/ QUOTE ] I don't think it's easy, exactly, since you're probably losing. You are getting about 6:1 on a call down, though. And, mathematically, AA/JJ is only 1 1/2 times as likely as QQ. I think Villain's play in the hand makes QQ less likely than the combos indicate. At the same time, you do also have some (small) chance of improving to the winning hand, when you are behind. I don't know. I wouldn't be very optimistic about my chances, at the point when I was getting raised on the turn. But I would call down. |
#7
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
I disagee....i think its 50/50. You have to call down because of that and not in the hope he has q/q.
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#8
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
[ QUOTE ]
I disagee....i think its 50/50. You have to call down because of that and not in the hope he has q/q. [/ QUOTE ] If Villain has QQ, his turn raise is a pretty optimistic one, at this point. I'm not ruling QQ out, but I don't think it's as likely as AA. |
#9
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
Why is his turn raise an optomistic raise? That's kind of a junky flop for the preflop action. He has an overpair and can't put OP on j/j. Well he can put it in his range of hands but not a large enough part of the range not to keep pumping.
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#10
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Re: kk utg agianst tag.
[ QUOTE ]
Why is his turn raise an optomistic raise? That's kind of a junky flop for the preflop action. He has an overpair and can't put OP on j/j. Well he can put it in his range of hands but not a large enough part of the range not to keep pumping. [/ QUOTE ] If Villain has QQ, shouldn't he be thinking there's a really good chance he's losing to AA/KK/JJ? Hero capped preflop and hasn't slowed down yet. If Hero can't beat QQ, shouldn't he be starting to get a little worried, when Villain raises the flop despite Hero's preflop cap? |
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